StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Marta Kostyuk v Sloane Stephens

Matchstart: 2026-08-18 19:08 UTC

Slutresultat: Marta Kostyuk 2–0 Sloane Stephens

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

64 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Marta Kostyuk (Hemma)

Prognos 85.21%1.17rättvist odds
EV -2.01%
Fördel -1.75%
Kelly -13.39%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.15

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
82.44%85.05%85.11%87.95%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.071.121.121.1593.46%89.67%89.29%86.96%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Sloane Stephens (Borta)

Prognos 14.79%6.76rättvist odds
EV +19.80%
Fördel +2.44%
Kelly +2.79%
Tillväxt +0.552%

med antagandet om högsta odds 8.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
12.05%14.95%14.89%17.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.406.316.258.1018.52%15.84%16.00%12.35%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Marta Kostyuk (Hemma): 85.21%; Sloane Stephens (Borta): 14.79%. För Sloane Stephens (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.76. 8 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 8.10, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +19.80%.

Spelbolagsodds (64 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.95%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 12.05%EV +19.80%E +2.44%K +2.79%G +0.552%2.4%2026-08-18 18:53
Winamax (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +7.22%E +0.996%K +1.16%G +0.084%3.1%2026-08-18 18:49
Coolbet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +7.22%E +0.996%K +1.16%G +0.084%3.1%2026-08-18 18:50
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV +5.01%E +0.705%K +0.821%G +0.041%4.2%2026-08-18 19:05
Pinnacle🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 86.22%EV -3.71%E -3.29%K -28.56%G +0.000%7.07I 14.14%NM 13.78%EV +4.56%E +0.645%K +0.752%G +0.034%2.6%2026-08-18 18:10
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.53%E +0.504%K +0.588%G +0.021%5.2%2026-08-18 19:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.02%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%6.89I 14.51%NM 13.98%EV +1.90%E +0.276%K +0.323%G +0.006%3.8%2026-08-18 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.02%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%6.89I 14.51%NM 13.98%EV +1.90%E +0.276%K +0.323%G +0.006%3.8%2026-08-18 18:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -0.171%E -0.025%K -0.030%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 07:54
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -0.171%E -0.025%K -0.030%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 18:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -0.910%E -0.136%K -0.160%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 18:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.82%E -8.25%K -126.07%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -0.910%E -0.136%K -0.160%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-18 06:49
GTbets🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.70%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.30%EV -1.65%E -0.248%K -0.292%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 18:55
BetUS🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.58%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.42%EV -2.54%E -0.385%K -0.454%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 18:50
LeoVegas🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 19:05
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 18:05
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 18:05
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 18:05
NordicBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 19:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 18:50
Betsson🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 19:05
ReBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 19:05
betfred_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 18:10
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -5.35%E -0.835%K -0.990%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 19:05
Fliff🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.46%EV -7.97%E -7.38%K -99.66%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.54%EV -6.09%E -0.958%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-18 19:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 10:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 10:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 10:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 10:04
Casumo🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 10:09
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 10:05
Grosvenor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 10:05
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 10:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 10:05
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 10:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 10:04
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 10:10
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 10:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 10:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 10:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 12:00
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 18:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-18 19:05
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -3.71%E -3.29%K -28.56%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -8.30%E -1.34%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 19:05
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -8.30%E -1.34%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 06:49
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.26%E -1.88%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 09:50
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -11.26%E -1.88%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-18 19:03
betano_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -11.26%E -1.88%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-18 19:03
PMU (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -11.26%E -1.88%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-18 10:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.18%EV -7.12%E -6.53%K -79.12%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -14.22%E -2.45%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-18 19:03
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -14.96%E -2.60%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 18:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -14.96%E -2.60%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 18:00
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.86%E -2.51%K -20.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -18.66%E -3.39%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 19:05
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.86%E -2.51%K -20.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -18.66%E -3.39%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 19:05
PlayUp🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.86%E -2.51%K -20.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -18.66%E -3.39%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 18:09
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.86%E -2.51%K -20.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -18.66%E -3.39%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 10:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.86%E -2.51%K -20.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -18.66%E -3.39%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 19:05
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.71%E -3.29%K -28.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -18.66%E -3.39%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 18:05
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.66%E -3.39%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-18 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.01%E -1.75%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -20.14%E -3.73%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 19:04
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -3.71%E -3.29%K -28.56%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -20.14%E -3.73%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 19:05
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%0.2%2026-08-18 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%0.2%2026-08-18 19:05
Matchbook◎1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%0.2%2026-08-18 19:05
ProphetX◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-08-18 19:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-08-18 19:05
Novig◎1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71%1.9%2026-08-18 19:05
Smarkets◎1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23%2.6%2026-08-18 19:05