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Marta Kostyuk v Sloane Stephens
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Marta Kostyuk (Хозяева)
Прогноз 85.21%1.17справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.01%
Преимущество -1.75%
Kelly -13.39%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.15
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
82.44%85.05%85.11%87.95%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.071.121.121.1593.46%89.67%89.29%86.96%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Sloane Stephens (Гости)
Прогноз 14.79%6.76справедливый коэффициент
EV +19.80%
Преимущество +2.44%
Kelly +2.79%
Рост +0.552%
при максимальном коэффициенте 8.10
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
12.05%14.95%14.89%17.56%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.406.316.258.1018.52%15.84%16.00%12.35%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Marta Kostyuk (Хозяева): 85.21%; Sloane Stephens (Гости): 14.79%. Для исхода «Sloane Stephens (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 6.76. 8 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 8.10, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +19.80%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.95%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 12.05%EV +19.80%E +2.44%K +2.79%G +0.552% | 2.4% | 2026-08-18 18:53 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +7.22%E +0.996%K +1.16%G +0.084% | 3.1% | 2026-08-18 18:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +7.22%E +0.996%K +1.16%G +0.084% | 3.1% | 2026-08-18 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV +5.01%E +0.705%K +0.821%G +0.041% | 4.2% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.22%EV -3.71%E -3.29%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 7.07I 14.14%NM 13.78%EV +4.56%E +0.645%K +0.752%G +0.034% | 2.6% | 2026-08-18 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.53%E +0.504%K +0.588%G +0.021% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.02%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.89I 14.51%NM 13.98%EV +1.90%E +0.276%K +0.323%G +0.006% | 3.8% | 2026-08-18 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.02%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.89I 14.51%NM 13.98%EV +1.90%E +0.276%K +0.323%G +0.006% | 3.8% | 2026-08-18 18:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -0.171%E -0.025%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 07:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -0.171%E -0.025%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 18:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -0.910%E -0.136%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.82%E -8.25%K -126.07%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -0.910%E -0.136%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-18 06:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.70%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.30%EV -1.65%E -0.248%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 18:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.58%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.42%EV -2.54%E -0.385%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 18:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 18:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -5.35%E -0.835%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.46%EV -7.97%E -7.38%K -99.66%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.54%EV -6.09%E -0.958%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 12:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -3.71%E -3.29%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -8.30%E -1.34%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -8.30%E -1.34%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 06:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.26%E -1.88%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 09:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -11.26%E -1.88%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-18 19:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -11.26%E -1.88%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-18 19:03 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -11.26%E -1.88%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-18 10:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.18%EV -7.12%E -6.53%K -79.12%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -14.22%E -2.45%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-18 19:03 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -14.96%E -2.60%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -14.96%E -2.60%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 18:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.86%E -2.51%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -18.66%E -3.39%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.86%E -2.51%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -18.66%E -3.39%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.86%E -2.51%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -18.66%E -3.39%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 18:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.86%E -2.51%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -18.66%E -3.39%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 10:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.86%E -2.51%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -18.66%E -3.39%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.71%E -3.29%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -18.66%E -3.39%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.66%E -3.39%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.01%E -1.75%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -20.14%E -3.73%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 19:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -3.71%E -3.29%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -20.14%E -3.73%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 0.2% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 0.2% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 0.2% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71% | 1.9% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23% | 2.6% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |