Idioma:Español
Marta Kostyuk v Sloane Stephens
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Marta Kostyuk (Local)
Predicción 85.21%1.17momio equitativo
EV -2.01%
Ventaja -1.75%
Kelly -13.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
82.44%85.05%85.11%87.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.071.121.121.1593.46%89.67%89.29%86.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Sloane Stephens (Visitante)
Predicción 14.79%6.76momio equitativo
EV +19.80%
Ventaja +2.44%
Kelly +2.79%
Crecimiento +0.552%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.05%14.95%14.89%17.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.406.316.258.1018.52%15.84%16.00%12.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Marta Kostyuk (Local): 85.21%; Sloane Stephens (Visitante): 14.79%. Para Sloane Stephens (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.76. 8 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 8.10, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +19.80%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.95%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 12.05%EV +19.80%E +2.44%K +2.79%G +0.552% | 2.4% | 2026-08-18 18:53 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +7.22%E +0.996%K +1.16%G +0.084% | 3.1% | 2026-08-18 18:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +7.22%E +0.996%K +1.16%G +0.084% | 3.1% | 2026-08-18 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV +5.01%E +0.705%K +0.821%G +0.041% | 4.2% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.22%EV -3.71%E -3.29%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 7.07I 14.14%NM 13.78%EV +4.56%E +0.645%K +0.752%G +0.034% | 2.6% | 2026-08-18 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.53%E +0.504%K +0.588%G +0.021% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.02%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.89I 14.51%NM 13.98%EV +1.90%E +0.276%K +0.323%G +0.006% | 3.8% | 2026-08-18 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.02%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.89I 14.51%NM 13.98%EV +1.90%E +0.276%K +0.323%G +0.006% | 3.8% | 2026-08-18 18:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -0.171%E -0.025%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 07:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -0.171%E -0.025%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 18:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -0.910%E -0.136%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.82%E -8.25%K -126.07%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -0.910%E -0.136%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-18 06:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.70%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.30%EV -1.65%E -0.248%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 18:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.58%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.42%EV -2.54%E -0.385%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 18:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.87%E -0.595%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 18:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -5.35%E -0.835%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.46%EV -7.97%E -7.38%K -99.66%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.54%EV -6.09%E -0.958%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 10:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 12:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.42%E -4.88%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -7.57%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -3.71%E -3.29%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -8.30%E -1.34%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -8.30%E -1.34%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 06:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.26%E -1.88%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 09:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -11.26%E -1.88%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-18 19:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -11.26%E -1.88%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-18 19:03 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.27%E -5.70%K -62.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -11.26%E -1.88%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-18 10:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.18%EV -7.12%E -6.53%K -79.12%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -14.22%E -2.45%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-18 19:03 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -14.96%E -2.60%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -14.96%E -2.60%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 18:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.86%E -2.51%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -18.66%E -3.39%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.86%E -2.51%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -18.66%E -3.39%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.86%E -2.51%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -18.66%E -3.39%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 18:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.86%E -2.51%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -18.66%E -3.39%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 10:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.86%E -2.51%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -18.66%E -3.39%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.71%E -3.29%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -18.66%E -3.39%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 18:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.56%E -4.08%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.66%E -3.39%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.01%E -1.75%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -20.14%E -3.73%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 19:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -3.71%E -3.29%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -20.14%E -3.73%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 0.2% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 0.2% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 0.2% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71% | 1.9% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23% | 2.6% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |