Language:English
Magdalena Frech v Elena Rybakina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Magdalena Frech (Local)
Prediction 15.93%6.28fair odd
EV +7.34%
Edge +1.09%
Kelly +1.28%
Growth +0.094%
assuming max odds 6.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.32%16.05%15.85%18.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.825.756.7420.00%17.18%17.39%14.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elena Rybakina (Visit)
Prediction 84.07%1.19fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -9.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.30%83.95%84.15%85.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.131.141.1791.74%88.24%87.72%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Magdalena Frech (Local): 15.93%; Elena Rybakina (Visit): 84.07%. For Magdalena Frech (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.28. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.74, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.34%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.74I 14.84%NM 14.47%EV +7.34%E +1.09%K +1.28%G +0.094% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.53%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-17 16:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +6.71%E +1.00%K +1.18%G +0.079% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.52%E +0.542%K +0.640%G +0.023% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.68%E -6.02%K -60.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 14:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.52%E +0.542%K +0.640%G +0.023% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.68%E -6.02%K -60.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.33I 15.80%NM 15.37%EV +0.815%E +0.129%K +0.153%G +0.001% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.63%EV -3.32%E -2.88%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-17 16:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV -0.459%E -0.074%K -0.088%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -3.32%E -2.88%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-17 14:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -0.459%E -0.074%K -0.088%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.64%EV -2.05%E -0.334%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.36%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-17 14:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.64%EV -2.05%E -0.334%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.36%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.09I 16.42%NM 16.12%EV -3.01%E -0.494%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.88%EV -1.63%E -1.40%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-17 14:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 16:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 15:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 07:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 14:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 16:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 06:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 16:18 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.68%E -6.02%K -60.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.68%E -6.02%K -60.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 21:52 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -8.36%E -7.67%K -92.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-17 14:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.98I 16.72%NM 16.01%EV -4.76%E -0.796%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.99%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-17 04:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -6.03%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 07:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -6.83%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 15:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 14:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 14:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 14:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 14:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 14:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 14:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 14:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 14:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 14:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 14:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 14:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 14:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 14:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 14:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 14:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 06:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 16:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 06:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 07:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 07:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -9.22%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-17 14:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.64I 17.73%NM 16.81%EV -10.17%E -1.80%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.19%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 13:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.40%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 06:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.40%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 06:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.40%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 05:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.40%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 06:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.40%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 06:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.40%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 12:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -14.00%E -2.59%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-17 14:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -16.39%E -3.12%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.32%E -2.88%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -17.18%E -3.30%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -3.32%E -2.88%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 06:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -17.18%E -3.30%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -3.32%E -2.88%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 07:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -20.37%E -4.07%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.32%E -2.88%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 15:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -20.37%E -4.07%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-17 14:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -20.37%E -4.07%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 0.5% | 2026-08-17 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 0.5% | 2026-08-17 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 0.5% | 2026-08-17 16:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 0.5% | 2026-08-17 16:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 0.5% | 2026-08-17 16:45 |
| Novig◎ | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29% | 1.9% | 2026-08-17 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.36% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.64% | 2.4% | 2026-08-17 16:40 |