Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Magdalena Frech v Elena Rybakina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-17 17:00 UTC

Score final : Magdalena Frech 0–2 Elena Rybakina

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Magdalena Frech (Local)

Prévision 15.93%6.28cote équitable
EV +7.34%
Avantage +1.09%
Kelly +1.28%
Croissance +0.094%

avec la cote maximale 6.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.32%16.05%15.85%18.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.825.756.7420.00%17.18%17.39%14.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Elena Rybakina (Visiteur)

Prévision 84.07%1.19cote équitable
EV -1.63%
Avantage -1.40%
Kelly -9.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
81.30%83.95%84.15%85.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.091.131.141.1791.74%88.24%87.72%85.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Magdalena Frech (Local) : 15.93% ; Elena Rybakina (Visiteur) : 84.07%. Pour Magdalena Frech (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.28. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.74, soit une espérance positive de +7.34%.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯6.74I 14.84%NM 14.47%EV +7.34%E +1.09%K +1.28%G +0.094%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.53%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-17 16:49
FanDuel🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +6.71%E +1.00%K +1.18%G +0.079%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 14:09
Paddy Power🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.52%E +0.542%K +0.640%G +0.023%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.68%E -6.02%K -60.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 14:15
Sky Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.52%E +0.542%K +0.640%G +0.023%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.68%E -6.02%K -60.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 14:09
Pinnacle🎯6.33I 15.80%NM 15.37%EV +0.815%E +0.129%K +0.153%G +0.001%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.63%EV -3.32%E -2.88%K -22.10%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-17 16:40
Coolbet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV -0.459%E -0.074%K -0.088%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -3.32%E -2.88%K -22.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-17 14:34
Winamax (DE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -0.459%E -0.074%K -0.088%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-17 14:09
BetOnline.ag🎯6.15I 16.26%NM 15.64%EV -2.05%E -0.334%K -0.398%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.36%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-17 14:10
LowVig.ag🎯6.15I 16.26%NM 15.64%EV -2.05%E -0.334%K -0.398%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.36%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-17 14:09
GTbets🎯6.09I 16.42%NM 16.12%EV -3.01%E -0.494%K -0.591%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 83.88%EV -1.63%E -1.40%K -9.61%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-17 14:30
Unibet (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 14:09
NordicBet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 14:09
Betsson🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 14:10
Marathon Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 16:55
ReBet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 15:34
Winamax (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 14:09
Bovada🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 07:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 14:30
betfred_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 16:05
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 06:59
Betclic (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 16:18
SportsBet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.68%E -6.02%K -60.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-17 14:09
Caesars🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.68%E -6.02%K -60.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 21:52
Tipico (DE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -8.36%E -7.67%K -92.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-17 14:35
DraftKings🎯5.98I 16.72%NM 16.01%EV -4.76%E -0.796%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.99%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-17 04:05
Fanatics🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -6.03%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 07:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -6.83%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 15:55
LiveScore Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 14:35
Unibet (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 14:35
Casumo🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 14:34
Grosvenor🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 14:40
Virgin Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 14:34
Unibet (NL)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 14:34
TABtouch🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 14:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 14:35
BetRivers🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 14:35
Unibet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 14:35
betPARX🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 14:39
Svenska Spel🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 14:35
Bally Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 14:34
ATG (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 14:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 14:35
Betr (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 06:59
theScore Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 16:04
BetMGM🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 06:59
Coral🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 07:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 07:00
LeoVegas🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -9.22%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-17 14:30
BetUS🎯5.64I 17.73%NM 16.81%EV -10.17%E -1.80%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.19%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 13:34
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.40%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 06:54
William Hill🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.40%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 06:59
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.40%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 05:04
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.40%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 06:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.40%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 06:54
BetAnything🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.40%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 12:59
PMU (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -14.00%E -2.59%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-17 14:35
PlayUp🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -16.39%E -3.12%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.32%E -2.88%K -22.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -17.18%E -3.30%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -3.32%E -2.88%K -22.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 06:59
Neds🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -17.18%E -3.30%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -3.32%E -2.88%K -22.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 07:00
TAB🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -20.37%E -4.07%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.32%E -2.88%K -22.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 15:09
Bet Victor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -20.37%E -4.07%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-17 14:10
betano_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -20.37%E -4.07%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-17 14:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%0.5%2026-08-17 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%0.5%2026-08-17 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%0.5%2026-08-17 16:40
Matchbook◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%0.5%2026-08-17 16:40
ProphetX◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%0.5%2026-08-17 16:45
Novig◎6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71%1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29%1.9%2026-08-17 16:55
Smarkets◎6.80I 14.71%NM 14.36%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.64%2.4%2026-08-17 16:40