Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Magdalena Frech v Elena Rybakina

Início: 2026-08-17 17:00 UTC

Final: Magdalena Frech 0–2 Elena Rybakina

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Magdalena Frech (Local)

Previsão 15.93%6.28odd justa
EV +7.34%
Vantagem +1.09%
Kelly +1.28%
Crescimento +0.094%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.32%16.05%15.85%18.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.005.825.756.7420.00%17.18%17.39%14.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Elena Rybakina (Visitante)

Previsão 84.07%1.19odd justa
EV -1.63%
Vantagem -1.40%
Kelly -9.61%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.17

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
81.30%83.95%84.15%85.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.091.131.141.1791.74%88.24%87.72%85.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Magdalena Frech (Local): 15.93%; Elena Rybakina (Visitante): 84.07%. Para Magdalena Frech (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.28. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.74, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.34%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯6.74I 14.84%NM 14.47%EV +7.34%E +1.09%K +1.28%G +0.094%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.53%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-17 16:49
FanDuel🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +6.71%E +1.00%K +1.18%G +0.079%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 14:09
Paddy Power🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.52%E +0.542%K +0.640%G +0.023%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.68%E -6.02%K -60.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 14:15
Sky Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.52%E +0.542%K +0.640%G +0.023%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.68%E -6.02%K -60.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 14:09
Pinnacle🎯6.33I 15.80%NM 15.37%EV +0.815%E +0.129%K +0.153%G +0.001%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.63%EV -3.32%E -2.88%K -22.10%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-17 16:40
Coolbet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV -0.459%E -0.074%K -0.088%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -3.32%E -2.88%K -22.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-17 14:34
Winamax (DE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -0.459%E -0.074%K -0.088%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-17 14:09
BetOnline.ag🎯6.15I 16.26%NM 15.64%EV -2.05%E -0.334%K -0.398%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.36%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-17 14:10
LowVig.ag🎯6.15I 16.26%NM 15.64%EV -2.05%E -0.334%K -0.398%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.36%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-17 14:09
GTbets🎯6.09I 16.42%NM 16.12%EV -3.01%E -0.494%K -0.591%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 83.88%EV -1.63%E -1.40%K -9.61%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-17 14:30
Unibet (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 14:09
NordicBet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 14:09
Betsson🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 14:10
Marathon Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 16:55
ReBet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 15:34
Winamax (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 14:09
Bovada🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 07:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 14:30
betfred_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 16:05
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 06:59
Betclic (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 16:18
SportsBet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.68%E -6.02%K -60.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-17 14:09
Caesars🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.68%E -6.02%K -60.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 21:52
Tipico (DE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -8.36%E -7.67%K -92.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-17 14:35
DraftKings🎯5.98I 16.72%NM 16.01%EV -4.76%E -0.796%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.99%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-17 04:05
Fanatics🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -6.03%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 07:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -6.83%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 15:55
LiveScore Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 14:35
Unibet (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 14:35
Casumo🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 14:34
Grosvenor🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 14:40
Virgin Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 14:34
Unibet (NL)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 14:34
TABtouch🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 14:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 14:35
BetRivers🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 14:35
Unibet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 14:35
betPARX🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 14:39
Svenska Spel🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 14:35
Bally Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 14:34
ATG (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 14:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 14:35
Betr (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 06:59
theScore Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 16:04
BetMGM🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 06:59
Coral🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 07:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 07:00
LeoVegas🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -9.22%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-17 14:30
BetUS🎯5.64I 17.73%NM 16.81%EV -10.17%E -1.80%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.19%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 13:34
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.40%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 06:54
William Hill🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.40%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 06:59
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.40%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 05:04
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.40%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 06:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.40%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 06:54
BetAnything🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.40%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 12:59
PMU (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -14.00%E -2.59%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-17 14:35
PlayUp🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -16.39%E -3.12%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.32%E -2.88%K -22.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -17.18%E -3.30%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -3.32%E -2.88%K -22.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 06:59
Neds🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -17.18%E -3.30%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -3.32%E -2.88%K -22.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 07:00
TAB🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -20.37%E -4.07%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.32%E -2.88%K -22.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 15:09
Bet Victor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -20.37%E -4.07%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-17 14:10
betano_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -20.37%E -4.07%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-17 14:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%0.5%2026-08-17 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%0.5%2026-08-17 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%0.5%2026-08-17 16:40
Matchbook◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%0.5%2026-08-17 16:40
ProphetX◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%0.5%2026-08-17 16:45
Novig◎6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71%1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29%1.9%2026-08-17 16:55
Smarkets◎6.80I 14.71%NM 14.36%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.64%2.4%2026-08-17 16:40