Idioma:Español
Magdalena Frech v Elena Rybakina
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Magdalena Frech (Local)
Predicción 15.93%6.28momio equitativo
EV +7.34%
Ventaja +1.09%
Kelly +1.28%
Crecimiento +0.094%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.32%16.05%15.85%18.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.005.825.756.7420.00%17.18%17.39%14.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Elena Rybakina (Visitante)
Predicción 84.07%1.19momio equitativo
EV -1.63%
Ventaja -1.40%
Kelly -9.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.30%83.95%84.15%85.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.091.131.141.1791.74%88.24%87.72%85.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Magdalena Frech (Local): 15.93%; Elena Rybakina (Visitante): 84.07%. Para Magdalena Frech (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.28. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.74, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +7.34%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.74I 14.84%NM 14.47%EV +7.34%E +1.09%K +1.28%G +0.094% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.53%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-17 16:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +6.71%E +1.00%K +1.18%G +0.079% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.52%E +0.542%K +0.640%G +0.023% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.68%E -6.02%K -60.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 14:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.52%E +0.542%K +0.640%G +0.023% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.68%E -6.02%K -60.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.33I 15.80%NM 15.37%EV +0.815%E +0.129%K +0.153%G +0.001% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.63%EV -3.32%E -2.88%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-17 16:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV -0.459%E -0.074%K -0.088%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -3.32%E -2.88%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-17 14:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -0.459%E -0.074%K -0.088%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.64%EV -2.05%E -0.334%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.36%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-17 14:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.64%EV -2.05%E -0.334%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.36%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.09I 16.42%NM 16.12%EV -3.01%E -0.494%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.88%EV -1.63%E -1.40%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-17 14:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 16:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 15:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 07:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 14:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 16:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 06:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 16:18 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.68%E -6.02%K -60.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.68%E -6.02%K -60.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 21:52 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -8.36%E -7.67%K -92.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-17 14:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.98I 16.72%NM 16.01%EV -4.76%E -0.796%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.99%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-17 04:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -6.03%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 07:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -6.83%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 15:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 14:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 14:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 14:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 14:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 14:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 14:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 14:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 14:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 14:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 14:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 14:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 14:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 14:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 14:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 14:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 06:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 16:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 06:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 07:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 07:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -9.22%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-17 14:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.64I 17.73%NM 16.81%EV -10.17%E -1.80%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.19%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 13:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.40%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 06:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.40%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 06:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.40%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 05:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.40%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 06:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.40%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 06:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.40%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 12:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -14.00%E -2.59%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-17 14:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -16.39%E -3.12%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.32%E -2.88%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -17.18%E -3.30%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -3.32%E -2.88%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 06:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -17.18%E -3.30%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -3.32%E -2.88%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 07:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -20.37%E -4.07%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.32%E -2.88%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 15:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -20.37%E -4.07%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-17 14:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -20.37%E -4.07%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 0.5% | 2026-08-17 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 0.5% | 2026-08-17 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 0.5% | 2026-08-17 16:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 0.5% | 2026-08-17 16:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 0.5% | 2026-08-17 16:45 |
| Novig◎ | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29% | 1.9% | 2026-08-17 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.36% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.64% | 2.4% | 2026-08-17 16:40 |