语言:简体中文
Jessica Pegula v Iga Swiatek
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Jessica Pegula (主队)
预测 32.39%3.09公平赔率
EV +5.26%
优势 +1.62%
Kelly +2.34%
增长率 +0.123%
假设最高赔率为 3.25
博彩公司预测分布
29.36%32.34%32.49%34.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.752.953.003.2536.36%33.95%33.33%30.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
Iga Swiatek (客队)
预测 67.61%1.48公平赔率
EV -3.99%
优势 -2.81%
Kelly -9.50%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.42
博彩公司预测分布
65.95%67.66%67.51%70.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.331.391.401.4275.19%71.79%71.43%70.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Jessica Pegula (主队)：32.39%；Iga Swiatek (客队)：67.61%。 对于“Jessica Pegula (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.09。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.25，对应+5.26%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (59 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +5.26%E +1.62%K +2.34%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-22 19:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +5.26%E +1.62%K +2.34%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-22 19:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +3.64%E +1.14%K +1.66%G +0.060% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -10.08%E -7.58%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 19:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.72%EV +3.00%E +0.942%K +1.37%G +0.041% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.28%EV -4.67%E -3.31%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-22 19:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV +1.70%E +0.541%K +0.794%G +0.014% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -10.08%E -7.58%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 19:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -1.21%E -0.398%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.67%E -3.31%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-22 19:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -1.86%E -0.615%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -4.67%E -3.31%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-22 19:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -1.86%E -0.615%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -4.67%E -3.31%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 19:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 02:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 19:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 19:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 10:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 10:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 10:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 10:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 10:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 10:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 10:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 10:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 10:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 10:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 10:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 10:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 19:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.70%E -4.85%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 19:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.70%E -4.85%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 19:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 19:53 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 19:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV -3.81%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -6.02%E -4.33%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 19:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.45%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.67%E -3.31%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.45%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 07:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.45%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 07:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.45%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.02%E -4.33%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 19:53 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.10%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.67%E -3.31%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 19:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 07:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.70%E -4.85%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 19:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 19:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 19:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-21 10:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 19:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.54%EV -8.66%E -3.07%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.46%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 19:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.31%E -3.33%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.99%E -2.81%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 19:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.31%E -3.33%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.99%E -2.81%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 19:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.31%E -3.33%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 19:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.31%E -3.33%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.31%E -3.33%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 18:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.31%E -3.33%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.31%E -3.33%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.93%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.99%E -2.81%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 12:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.93%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.93%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.93%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.93%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 19:54 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 19:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 0.9% | 2026-08-22 19:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 2.0% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |