Langue:Français
Jessica Pegula v Iga Swiatek
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Jessica Pegula (Local)
Prévision 32.39%3.09cote équitable
EV +5.26%
Avantage +1.62%
Kelly +2.34%
Croissance +0.123%
avec la cote maximale 3.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.36%32.34%32.49%34.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.953.003.2536.36%33.95%33.33%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Iga Swiatek (Visiteur)
Prévision 67.61%1.48cote équitable
EV -3.99%
Avantage -2.81%
Kelly -9.50%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.42
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.95%67.66%67.51%70.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.331.391.401.4275.19%71.79%71.43%70.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jessica Pegula (Local) : 32.39% ; Iga Swiatek (Visiteur) : 67.61%. Pour Jessica Pegula (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.09. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.25, soit une espérance positive de +5.26%.
Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +5.26%E +1.62%K +2.34%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-22 19:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +5.26%E +1.62%K +2.34%G +0.123% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-22 19:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +3.64%E +1.14%K +1.66%G +0.060% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -10.08%E -7.58%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 19:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.72%EV +3.00%E +0.942%K +1.37%G +0.041% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.28%EV -4.67%E -3.31%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-22 19:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV +1.70%E +0.541%K +0.794%G +0.014% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -10.08%E -7.58%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 19:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -1.21%E -0.398%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.67%E -3.31%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-22 19:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -1.86%E -0.615%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -4.67%E -3.31%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-22 19:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -1.86%E -0.615%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -4.67%E -3.31%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 19:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 02:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 19:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 19:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 10:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 10:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 10:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 10:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 10:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 10:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 10:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 10:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 10:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 10:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 10:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 10:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 19:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.70%E -4.85%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 19:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.70%E -4.85%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 19:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 19:53 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 19:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV -3.81%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -6.02%E -4.33%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 19:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.45%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.67%E -3.31%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.45%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 07:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.45%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 07:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.45%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.02%E -4.33%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 19:53 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.10%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.67%E -3.31%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 19:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 07:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.70%E -4.85%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 19:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 19:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 19:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-21 10:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 19:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.54%EV -8.66%E -3.07%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.46%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 19:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.31%E -3.33%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.99%E -2.81%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 19:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.31%E -3.33%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.99%E -2.81%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 19:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.31%E -3.33%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 19:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.31%E -3.33%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.31%E -3.33%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 18:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.31%E -3.33%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.31%E -3.33%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.93%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.99%E -2.81%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 12:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.93%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.93%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.93%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.93%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 19:54 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 19:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 0.9% | 2026-08-22 19:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 2.0% | 2026-08-22 19:55 |