StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jessica Pegula v Iga Swiatek

Matchstart: 2026-08-22 19:58 UTC

Slutresultat: Jessica Pegula 2–1 Iga Swiatek

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

59 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jessica Pegula (Hemma)

Prognos 32.39%3.09rättvist odds
EV +5.26%
Fördel +1.62%
Kelly +2.34%
Tillväxt +0.123%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.36%32.34%32.49%34.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.752.953.003.2536.36%33.95%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Iga Swiatek (Borta)

Prognos 67.61%1.48rättvist odds
EV -3.99%
Fördel -2.81%
Kelly -9.50%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.42

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
65.95%67.66%67.51%70.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.331.391.401.4275.19%71.79%71.43%70.42%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Jessica Pegula (Hemma): 32.39%; Iga Swiatek (Borta): 67.61%. För Jessica Pegula (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.09. 5 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.25, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +5.26%.

Spelbolagsodds (59 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +5.26%E +1.62%K +2.34%G +0.123%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 19:44
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +5.26%E +1.62%K +2.34%G +0.123%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 19:45
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +3.64%E +1.14%K +1.66%G +0.060%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -10.08%E -7.58%K -30.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 19:45
Pinnacle🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.72%EV +3.00%E +0.942%K +1.37%G +0.041%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.28%EV -4.67%E -3.31%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-22 19:45
SportsBet🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV +1.70%E +0.541%K +0.794%G +0.014%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -10.08%E -7.58%K -30.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 19:44
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -1.21%E -0.398%K -0.593%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.67%E -3.31%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-22 19:10
LowVig.ag🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -1.86%E -0.615%K -0.917%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -4.67%E -3.31%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-22 19:54
BetOnline.ag🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -1.86%E -0.615%K -0.917%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -4.67%E -3.31%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-22 19:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 19:10
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 19:55
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 02:50
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 19:54
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 19:50
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 10:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 10:35
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 10:34
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 10:35
Bally Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 10:34
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 10:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 10:35
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 10:34
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 10:35
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 10:34
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 10:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 10:34
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 19:54
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.70%E -4.85%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 19:10
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.70%E -4.85%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 19:54
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 19:53
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.83%E -0.945%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 19:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV -3.81%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -6.02%E -4.33%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 19:44
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.45%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.67%E -3.31%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 19:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.45%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 07:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.45%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 07:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.45%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.02%E -4.33%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 19:53
Coolbet🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.10%E -1.74%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.67%E -3.31%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 19:54
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 19:55
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 07:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.70%E -4.85%K -17.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 19:54
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 19:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 19:10
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-21 10:54
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 19:55
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 19:54
ReBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 19:55
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 19:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.54%EV -8.66%E -3.07%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.46%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 19:54
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.31%E -3.33%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.99%E -2.81%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 19:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.31%E -3.33%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.99%E -2.81%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 19:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.31%E -3.33%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 19:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.31%E -3.33%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 19:55
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.31%E -3.33%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 18:58
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.31%E -3.33%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 18:59
Fliff🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.31%E -3.33%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 19:55
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.93%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.99%E -2.81%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 12:20
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.93%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 19:55
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.93%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 19:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.93%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 19:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.93%E -3.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.34%E -3.82%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 19:54
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%0.4%2026-08-22 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%0.4%2026-08-22 19:55
Matchbook◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%0.4%2026-08-22 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-08-22 19:45
ProphetX◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-08-22 19:55
Novig◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-08-22 19:50
Smarkets◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%2.0%2026-08-22 19:55