语言:简体中文
Iga Swiatek v Emiliana Arango
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Iga Swiatek (主队)
预测 94.51%1.06公平赔率
EV -1.71%
优势 -1.64%
Kelly -42.72%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.04
博彩公司预测分布
89.64%94.24%94.54%96.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.001.021.011.04100.00%98.52%99.01%96.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
Emiliana Arango (客队)
预测 5.49%18.22公平赔率
EV +42.72%
优势 +1.64%
Kelly +1.71%
增长率 +0.730%
假设最高赔率为 26.00
博彩公司预测分布
3.74%5.76%5.46%10.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.0018.0719.0026.0011.11%5.54%5.26%3.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Iga Swiatek (主队)：94.51%；Emiliana Arango (客队)：5.49%。 对于“Emiliana Arango (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为18.22。 当时有33家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为26.00，对应+42.72%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +42.72%E +1.64%K +1.71%G +0.730% | 2.9% | 2026-08-15 21:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +42.72%E +1.64%K +1.71%G +0.730% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 16:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.83%EV -5.49%E -5.49%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.17%EV +26.25%E +1.14%K +1.19%G +0.313% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 16:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.57%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.43%EV +20.76%E +0.944%K +0.989%G +0.205% | 2.6% | 2026-08-16 16:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.61%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.39%EV +20.76%E +0.944%K +0.989%G +0.205% | 3.6% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.61%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.39%EV +20.76%E +0.944%K +0.989%G +0.205% | 3.6% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.32%EV -2.65%E -2.58%K -88.46%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.68%EV +15.27%E +0.727%K +0.764%G +0.117% | 1.8% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +15.27%E +0.727%K +0.764%G +0.117% | 2.8% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +15.27%E +0.727%K +0.764%G +0.117% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +15.27%E +0.727%K +0.764%G +0.117% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 07:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +15.27%E +0.727%K +0.764%G +0.117% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +15.27%E +0.727%K +0.764%G +0.117% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 07:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.06%EV -2.65%E -2.58%K -88.46%G +0.000% | 19.80I 5.05%NM 4.94%EV +8.69%E +0.439%K +0.462%G +0.040% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +4.30%E +0.226%K +0.239%G +0.010% | 3.3% | 2026-08-16 07:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +4.30%E +0.226%K +0.239%G +0.010% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 13:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +4.30%E +0.226%K +0.239%G +0.010% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 13:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +4.30%E +0.226%K +0.239%G +0.010% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 13:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +4.30%E +0.226%K +0.239%G +0.010% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 07:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +4.30%E +0.226%K +0.239%G +0.010% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +4.30%E +0.226%K +0.239%G +0.010% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 07:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.93%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 18.92I 5.29%NM 5.07%EV +3.86%E +0.204%K +0.215%G +0.008% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.93%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 18.92I 5.29%NM 5.07%EV +3.86%E +0.204%K +0.215%G +0.008% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.80%EV -2.65%E -2.58%K -88.46%G +0.000% | 18.78I 5.32%NM 5.20%EV +3.09%E +0.164%K +0.174%G +0.005% | 2.4% | 2026-08-16 16:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -1.19%E -0.066%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -6.68%E -0.393%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -6.68%E -0.393%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -6.68%E -0.393%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -6.68%E -0.393%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -6.68%E -0.393%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -6.68%E -0.393%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -12.17%E -0.761%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -12.17%E -0.761%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.66%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.66%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 16:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.66%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 16:28 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.66%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.66%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 16:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.66%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 16:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -21.78%E -1.53%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 12:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -28.64%E -2.20%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 16:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -28.64%E -2.20%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -28.64%E -2.20%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 16:47 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -39.62%E -3.60%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 91.67%EV -5.49%E -5.49%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -39.62%E -3.60%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -1.71%E -1.64%K -42.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -50.60%E -5.62%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 16:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -1.71%E -1.64%K -42.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -50.60%E -5.62%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 16:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.88% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.12% | 1.3% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.29% | 20.83I 4.80%NM 4.71% | 1.9% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.22% | 20.50I 4.88%NM 4.78% | 2.0% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.61% | 21.98I 4.55%NM 4.39% | 3.6% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |