Język:Polski
Iga Swiatek v Emiliana Arango
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Iga Swiatek (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 94.51%1.06kurs godziwy
EV -1.71%
Przewaga -1.64%
Kelly -42.72%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.04
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
89.64%94.24%94.54%96.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.001.021.011.04100.00%98.52%99.01%96.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Emiliana Arango (Goście)
Prognoza 5.49%18.22kurs godziwy
EV +42.72%
Przewaga +1.64%
Kelly +1.71%
Wzrost +0.730%
przy maksymalnym kursie 26.00
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
3.74%5.76%5.46%10.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
9.0018.0719.0026.0011.11%5.54%5.26%3.85%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Iga Swiatek (Gospodarze): 94.51%; Emiliana Arango (Goście): 5.49%. Dla wyniku Emiliana Arango (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 18.22. 33 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 26.00, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +42.72%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (56 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +42.72%E +1.64%K +1.71%G +0.730% | 2.9% | 2026-08-15 21:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +42.72%E +1.64%K +1.71%G +0.730% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 16:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.83%EV -5.49%E -5.49%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.17%EV +26.25%E +1.14%K +1.19%G +0.313% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 16:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.57%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.43%EV +20.76%E +0.944%K +0.989%G +0.205% | 2.6% | 2026-08-16 16:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.61%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.39%EV +20.76%E +0.944%K +0.989%G +0.205% | 3.6% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.61%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.39%EV +20.76%E +0.944%K +0.989%G +0.205% | 3.6% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.32%EV -2.65%E -2.58%K -88.46%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.68%EV +15.27%E +0.727%K +0.764%G +0.117% | 1.8% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +15.27%E +0.727%K +0.764%G +0.117% | 2.8% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +15.27%E +0.727%K +0.764%G +0.117% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +15.27%E +0.727%K +0.764%G +0.117% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 07:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +15.27%E +0.727%K +0.764%G +0.117% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +15.27%E +0.727%K +0.764%G +0.117% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 07:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.06%EV -2.65%E -2.58%K -88.46%G +0.000% | 19.80I 5.05%NM 4.94%EV +8.69%E +0.439%K +0.462%G +0.040% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +4.30%E +0.226%K +0.239%G +0.010% | 3.3% | 2026-08-16 07:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +4.30%E +0.226%K +0.239%G +0.010% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 13:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +4.30%E +0.226%K +0.239%G +0.010% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 13:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +4.30%E +0.226%K +0.239%G +0.010% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 13:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +4.30%E +0.226%K +0.239%G +0.010% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 07:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +4.30%E +0.226%K +0.239%G +0.010% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +4.30%E +0.226%K +0.239%G +0.010% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 07:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.93%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 18.92I 5.29%NM 5.07%EV +3.86%E +0.204%K +0.215%G +0.008% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.93%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 18.92I 5.29%NM 5.07%EV +3.86%E +0.204%K +0.215%G +0.008% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.80%EV -2.65%E -2.58%K -88.46%G +0.000% | 18.78I 5.32%NM 5.20%EV +3.09%E +0.164%K +0.174%G +0.005% | 2.4% | 2026-08-16 16:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -1.19%E -0.066%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -6.68%E -0.393%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -6.68%E -0.393%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -6.68%E -0.393%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -6.68%E -0.393%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -6.68%E -0.393%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -6.68%E -0.393%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -12.17%E -0.761%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -12.17%E -0.761%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.66%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.66%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 16:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.66%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 16:28 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.66%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.66%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 16:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.66%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 16:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -21.78%E -1.53%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 12:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -28.64%E -2.20%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 16:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -28.64%E -2.20%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -28.64%E -2.20%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 16:47 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -39.62%E -3.60%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 91.67%EV -5.49%E -5.49%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -39.62%E -3.60%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -1.71%E -1.64%K -42.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -50.60%E -5.62%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 16:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -1.71%E -1.64%K -42.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -50.60%E -5.62%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 16:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.88% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.12% | 1.3% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.29% | 20.83I 4.80%NM 4.71% | 1.9% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.22% | 20.50I 4.88%NM 4.78% | 2.0% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.61% | 21.98I 4.55%NM 4.39% | 3.6% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |