Langue:Français
Iga Swiatek v Emiliana Arango
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Iga Swiatek (Local)
Prévision 94.51%1.06cote équitable
EV -1.71%
Avantage -1.64%
Kelly -42.72%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.04
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
89.64%94.24%94.54%96.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.001.021.011.04100.00%98.52%99.01%96.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Emiliana Arango (Visiteur)
Prévision 5.49%18.22cote équitable
EV +42.72%
Avantage +1.64%
Kelly +1.71%
Croissance +0.730%
avec la cote maximale 26.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
3.74%5.76%5.46%10.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
9.0018.0719.0026.0011.11%5.54%5.26%3.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Iga Swiatek (Local) : 94.51% ; Emiliana Arango (Visiteur) : 5.49%. Pour Emiliana Arango (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 18.22. 33 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 26.00, soit une espérance positive de +42.72%.
Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +42.72%E +1.64%K +1.71%G +0.730% | 2.9% | 2026-08-15 21:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +42.72%E +1.64%K +1.71%G +0.730% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 16:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.83%EV -5.49%E -5.49%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.17%EV +26.25%E +1.14%K +1.19%G +0.313% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 16:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.57%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.43%EV +20.76%E +0.944%K +0.989%G +0.205% | 2.6% | 2026-08-16 16:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.61%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.39%EV +20.76%E +0.944%K +0.989%G +0.205% | 3.6% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.61%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.39%EV +20.76%E +0.944%K +0.989%G +0.205% | 3.6% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.32%EV -2.65%E -2.58%K -88.46%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.68%EV +15.27%E +0.727%K +0.764%G +0.117% | 1.8% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +15.27%E +0.727%K +0.764%G +0.117% | 2.8% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +15.27%E +0.727%K +0.764%G +0.117% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +15.27%E +0.727%K +0.764%G +0.117% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 07:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +15.27%E +0.727%K +0.764%G +0.117% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +15.27%E +0.727%K +0.764%G +0.117% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 07:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.06%EV -2.65%E -2.58%K -88.46%G +0.000% | 19.80I 5.05%NM 4.94%EV +8.69%E +0.439%K +0.462%G +0.040% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +4.30%E +0.226%K +0.239%G +0.010% | 3.3% | 2026-08-16 07:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +4.30%E +0.226%K +0.239%G +0.010% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 13:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +4.30%E +0.226%K +0.239%G +0.010% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 13:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +4.30%E +0.226%K +0.239%G +0.010% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 13:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +4.30%E +0.226%K +0.239%G +0.010% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 07:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +4.30%E +0.226%K +0.239%G +0.010% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +4.30%E +0.226%K +0.239%G +0.010% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 07:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.93%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 18.92I 5.29%NM 5.07%EV +3.86%E +0.204%K +0.215%G +0.008% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.93%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 18.92I 5.29%NM 5.07%EV +3.86%E +0.204%K +0.215%G +0.008% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.80%EV -2.65%E -2.58%K -88.46%G +0.000% | 18.78I 5.32%NM 5.20%EV +3.09%E +0.164%K +0.174%G +0.005% | 2.4% | 2026-08-16 16:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -1.19%E -0.066%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -6.68%E -0.393%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -6.68%E -0.393%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -6.68%E -0.393%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -6.68%E -0.393%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -6.68%E -0.393%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -6.68%E -0.393%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -12.17%E -0.761%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -12.17%E -0.761%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.66%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.66%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 16:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.66%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 16:28 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.66%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.66%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 16:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.66%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 16:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -21.78%E -1.53%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 12:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -28.64%E -2.20%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 16:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -28.64%E -2.20%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -28.64%E -2.20%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 16:47 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -39.62%E -3.60%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 91.67%EV -5.49%E -5.49%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -39.62%E -3.60%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -1.71%E -1.64%K -42.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -50.60%E -5.62%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 16:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -1.71%E -1.64%K -42.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -50.60%E -5.62%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 16:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.88% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.12% | 1.3% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.29% | 20.83I 4.80%NM 4.71% | 1.9% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.22% | 20.50I 4.88%NM 4.78% | 2.0% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.61% | 21.98I 4.55%NM 4.39% | 3.6% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |