Idioma:Español
Iga Swiatek v Emiliana Arango
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Iga Swiatek (Local)
Predicción 94.51%1.06momio equitativo
EV -1.71%
Ventaja -1.64%
Kelly -42.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.04
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
89.64%94.24%94.54%96.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.001.021.011.04100.00%98.52%99.01%96.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Emiliana Arango (Visitante)
Predicción 5.49%18.22momio equitativo
EV +42.72%
Ventaja +1.64%
Kelly +1.71%
Crecimiento +0.730%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 26.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
3.74%5.76%5.46%10.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
9.0018.0719.0026.0011.11%5.54%5.26%3.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Iga Swiatek (Local): 94.51%; Emiliana Arango (Visitante): 5.49%. Para Emiliana Arango (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 18.22. 33 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 26.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +42.72%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +42.72%E +1.64%K +1.71%G +0.730% | 2.9% | 2026-08-15 21:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +42.72%E +1.64%K +1.71%G +0.730% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 16:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.83%EV -5.49%E -5.49%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.17%EV +26.25%E +1.14%K +1.19%G +0.313% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 16:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.57%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.43%EV +20.76%E +0.944%K +0.989%G +0.205% | 2.6% | 2026-08-16 16:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.61%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.39%EV +20.76%E +0.944%K +0.989%G +0.205% | 3.6% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.61%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.39%EV +20.76%E +0.944%K +0.989%G +0.205% | 3.6% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.32%EV -2.65%E -2.58%K -88.46%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.68%EV +15.27%E +0.727%K +0.764%G +0.117% | 1.8% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +15.27%E +0.727%K +0.764%G +0.117% | 2.8% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +15.27%E +0.727%K +0.764%G +0.117% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +15.27%E +0.727%K +0.764%G +0.117% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 07:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +15.27%E +0.727%K +0.764%G +0.117% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +15.27%E +0.727%K +0.764%G +0.117% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 07:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +9.79%E +0.489%K +0.515%G +0.050% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.06%EV -2.65%E -2.58%K -88.46%G +0.000% | 19.80I 5.05%NM 4.94%EV +8.69%E +0.439%K +0.462%G +0.040% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +4.30%E +0.226%K +0.239%G +0.010% | 3.3% | 2026-08-16 07:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +4.30%E +0.226%K +0.239%G +0.010% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 13:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +4.30%E +0.226%K +0.239%G +0.010% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 13:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +4.30%E +0.226%K +0.239%G +0.010% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 13:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +4.30%E +0.226%K +0.239%G +0.010% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 07:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +4.30%E +0.226%K +0.239%G +0.010% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +4.30%E +0.226%K +0.239%G +0.010% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 07:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.93%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 18.92I 5.29%NM 5.07%EV +3.86%E +0.204%K +0.215%G +0.008% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.93%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 18.92I 5.29%NM 5.07%EV +3.86%E +0.204%K +0.215%G +0.008% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.80%EV -2.65%E -2.58%K -88.46%G +0.000% | 18.78I 5.32%NM 5.20%EV +3.09%E +0.164%K +0.174%G +0.005% | 2.4% | 2026-08-16 16:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -1.19%E -0.066%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -6.68%E -0.393%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -6.68%E -0.393%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -6.68%E -0.393%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -6.68%E -0.393%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -6.68%E -0.393%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -6.68%E -0.393%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -12.17%E -0.761%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -12.17%E -0.761%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.66%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.66%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 16:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.66%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 16:28 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.66%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.66%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 16:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.66%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 16:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -21.78%E -1.53%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 12:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -28.64%E -2.20%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 16:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -28.64%E -2.20%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.54%E -4.50%K -454.41%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -28.64%E -2.20%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 16:47 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -3.60%E -3.53%K -179.95%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -39.62%E -3.60%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 91.67%EV -5.49%E -5.49%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -39.62%E -3.60%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -1.71%E -1.64%K -42.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -50.60%E -5.62%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 16:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -1.71%E -1.64%K -42.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -50.60%E -5.62%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 16:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.88% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.12% | 1.3% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.29% | 20.83I 4.80%NM 4.71% | 1.9% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.22% | 20.50I 4.88%NM 4.78% | 2.0% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.61% | 21.98I 4.55%NM 4.39% | 3.6% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |