Language:English
Aryna Sabalenka v Xinyu Wang
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Prediction 88.52%1.13fair odd
EV -0.852%
Edge -0.761%
Kelly -7.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.27%88.40%88.77%91.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.071.071.1297.09%93.40%93.46%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Xinyu Wang (Visit)
Prediction 11.48%8.71fair odd
EV +26.23%
Edge +2.38%
Kelly +2.62%
Growth +0.688%
assuming max odds 11.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.79%11.60%11.23%15.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.008.038.0011.0016.67%12.46%12.50%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aryna Sabalenka (Local): 88.52%; Xinyu Wang (Visit): 11.48%. For Xinyu Wang (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.71. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +26.23%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +26.23%E +2.38%K +2.62%G +0.688% | 3.4% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -7.93%E -7.63%K -198.35%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +20.49%E +1.95%K +2.16%G +0.442% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.67%EV -7.05%E -6.71%K -140.98%G +0.000% | 10.20I 9.80%NM 9.33%EV +17.05%E +1.67%K +1.85%G +0.316% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.79%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV +9.01%E +0.949%K +1.06%G +0.096% | 3.1% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +3.28%E +0.364%K +0.409%G +0.013% | 4.6% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +3.28%E +0.364%K +0.409%G +0.013% | 4.6% | 2026-08-18 22:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +3.28%E +0.364%K +0.409%G +0.013% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +3.28%E +0.364%K +0.409%G +0.013% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.05%E -6.71%K -140.98%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +3.28%E +0.364%K +0.409%G +0.013% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.22%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 8.94I 11.19%NM 10.78%EV +2.59%E +0.289%K +0.326%G +0.008% | 3.8% | 2026-08-18 20:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -2.00%E -0.235%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-18 05:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -2.00%E -0.235%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-18 05:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -2.46%E -0.290%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 18:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -2.46%E -0.290%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -2.46%E -0.290%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 19:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -2.46%E -0.290%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 19:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.40%EV -1.74%E -1.57%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 8.46I 11.82%NM 11.60%EV -2.92%E -0.345%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-17 21:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.76%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 8.45I 11.83%NM 11.24%EV -3.04%E -0.359%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 21:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.08%EV -8.82%E -8.56%K -293.98%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.92%EV -3.61%E -0.430%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.57%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 8.29I 12.06%NM 11.43%EV -4.87%E -0.588%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 19:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV -8.09%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 23:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 23:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 08:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 08:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 22:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -7.93%E -7.63%K -198.35%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -11.07%E -1.43%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 22:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -11.07%E -1.43%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -11.07%E -1.43%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -11.07%E -1.43%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 22:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -11.07%E -1.43%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-18 23:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -16.81%E -2.32%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 08:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -16.81%E -2.32%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 08:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -19.67%E -2.81%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -19.67%E -2.81%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-17 13:17 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -19.67%E -2.81%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-17 12:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 86.96%EV -7.05%E -6.71%K -140.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -19.67%E -2.81%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 87.17%EV -8.82%E -8.56%K -293.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -19.67%E -2.81%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -2.62%E -2.38%K -26.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -25.41%E -3.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 21:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -3.51%E -3.22%K -38.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -25.41%E -3.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 21:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -0.852%E -0.761%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -31.15%E -5.19%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 14:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17% | 0.3% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17% | 0.3% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.13% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.87% | 1.1% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.73% | 9.52I 10.50%NM 10.27% | 2.2% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |