StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Aryna Sabalenka v Xinyu Wang

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-18 23:08 UTC

Endstand: Aryna Sabalenka 2–0 Xinyu Wang

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Aryna Sabalenka (Heim)

Prognose 88.52%1.13faire Quote
EV -0.852%
Vorteil -0.761%
Kelly -7.10%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.12

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
84.27%88.40%88.77%91.21%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.031.071.071.1297.09%93.40%93.46%89.29%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Xinyu Wang (Auswärts)

Prognose 11.48%8.71faire Quote
EV +26.23%
Vorteil +2.38%
Kelly +2.62%
Wachstum +0.688%

bei einer Höchstquote von 11.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
8.79%11.60%11.23%15.73%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
6.008.038.0011.0016.67%12.46%12.50%9.09%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Aryna Sabalenka (Heim): 88.52%; Xinyu Wang (Auswärts): 11.48%. Für Xinyu Wang (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 8.71. 10 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 11.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +26.23%.

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
DraftKings🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +26.23%E +2.38%K +2.62%G +0.688%3.4%2026-08-18 23:05
LeoVegas🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -7.93%E -7.63%K -198.35%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +20.49%E +1.95%K +2.16%G +0.442%5.7%2026-08-18 23:05
Coolbet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.67%EV -7.05%E -6.71%K -140.98%G +0.000%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.33%EV +17.05%E +1.67%K +1.85%G +0.316%5.0%2026-08-18 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.79%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV +9.01%E +0.949%K +1.06%G +0.096%3.1%2026-08-18 13:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +3.28%E +0.364%K +0.409%G +0.013%4.6%2026-08-18 13:25
FanDuel🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +3.28%E +0.364%K +0.409%G +0.013%4.6%2026-08-18 22:00
Paddy Power🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +3.28%E +0.364%K +0.409%G +0.013%5.5%2026-08-18 23:05
Sky Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +3.28%E +0.364%K +0.409%G +0.013%5.5%2026-08-18 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.05%E -6.71%K -140.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +3.28%E +0.364%K +0.409%G +0.013%6.3%2026-08-18 23:05
Pinnacle🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.22%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%8.94I 11.19%NM 10.78%EV +2.59%E +0.289%K +0.326%G +0.008%3.8%2026-08-18 20:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -2.00%E -0.235%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 05:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -2.00%E -0.235%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 05:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -2.46%E -0.290%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 18:04
Betway🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -2.46%E -0.290%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -2.46%E -0.290%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 19:15
Fanatics🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -2.46%E -0.290%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 19:15
GTbets🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 88.40%EV -1.74%E -1.57%K -15.79%G +0.000%8.46I 11.82%NM 11.60%EV -2.92%E -0.345%K -0.392%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-17 21:29
BetAnything🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.76%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%8.45I 11.83%NM 11.24%EV -3.04%E -0.359%K -0.408%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 21:29
Fliff🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.08%EV -8.82%E -8.56%K -293.98%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.92%EV -3.61%E -0.430%K -0.488%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-18 23:05
BetUS🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.57%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%8.29I 12.06%NM 11.43%EV -4.87%E -0.588%K -0.668%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 19:15
1xBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV -8.09%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 23:04
Bovada🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 23:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 13:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 13:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 13:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 11:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 08:55
Coral🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 08:55
TABtouch🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 22:00
William Hill🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 23:05
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 19:05
betfred_uk🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 19:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 19:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 19:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -7.93%E -7.63%K -198.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-18 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -11.07%E -1.43%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 22:50
NordicBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -11.07%E -1.43%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 23:05
Betsson🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -11.07%E -1.43%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 23:05
ReBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -11.07%E -1.43%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 22:59
SportsBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -11.07%E -1.43%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-18 23:04
BetRivers🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 23:05
Unibet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 23:05
Casumo🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 23:05
betPARX🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 23:05
BetMGM🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 23:05
Grosvenor🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 23:05
Bally Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-18 23:05
Neds🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -16.81%E -2.32%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 08:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -16.81%E -2.32%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 08:54
Bet Victor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -19.67%E -2.81%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-18 23:05
Caesars🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -19.67%E -2.81%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 13:17
betano_uk🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -19.67%E -2.81%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-17 12:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 86.96%EV -7.05%E -6.71%K -140.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -19.67%E -2.81%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-18 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 87.17%EV -8.82%E -8.56%K -293.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -19.67%E -2.81%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-18 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -2.62%E -2.38%K -26.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -25.41%E -3.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 21:10
TAB🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -3.51%E -3.22%K -38.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -25.41%E -3.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 21:09
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -0.852%E -0.761%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -31.15%E -5.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 14:45
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17%0.3%2026-08-18 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17%0.3%2026-08-18 23:05
Matchbook◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-08-18 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-08-18 23:05
Smarkets◎1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-08-18 23:05
ProphetX◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.13%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.87%1.1%2026-08-18 23:05
Novig◎1.09I 91.74%NM 89.73%9.52I 10.50%NM 10.27%2.2%2026-08-18 23:05