Langue:Français
Aryna Sabalenka v Xinyu Wang
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Prévision 88.52%1.13cote équitable
EV -0.852%
Avantage -0.761%
Kelly -7.10%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.12
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
84.27%88.40%88.77%91.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.031.071.071.1297.09%93.40%93.46%89.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Xinyu Wang (Visiteur)
Prévision 11.48%8.71cote équitable
EV +26.23%
Avantage +2.38%
Kelly +2.62%
Croissance +0.688%
avec la cote maximale 11.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.79%11.60%11.23%15.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.008.038.0011.0016.67%12.46%12.50%9.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Aryna Sabalenka (Local) : 88.52% ; Xinyu Wang (Visiteur) : 11.48%. Pour Xinyu Wang (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 8.71. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 11.00, soit une espérance positive de +26.23%.
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +26.23%E +2.38%K +2.62%G +0.688% | 3.4% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -7.93%E -7.63%K -198.35%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +20.49%E +1.95%K +2.16%G +0.442% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.67%EV -7.05%E -6.71%K -140.98%G +0.000% | 10.20I 9.80%NM 9.33%EV +17.05%E +1.67%K +1.85%G +0.316% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.79%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV +9.01%E +0.949%K +1.06%G +0.096% | 3.1% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +3.28%E +0.364%K +0.409%G +0.013% | 4.6% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +3.28%E +0.364%K +0.409%G +0.013% | 4.6% | 2026-08-18 22:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +3.28%E +0.364%K +0.409%G +0.013% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +3.28%E +0.364%K +0.409%G +0.013% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.05%E -6.71%K -140.98%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +3.28%E +0.364%K +0.409%G +0.013% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.22%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 8.94I 11.19%NM 10.78%EV +2.59%E +0.289%K +0.326%G +0.008% | 3.8% | 2026-08-18 20:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -2.00%E -0.235%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-18 05:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -2.00%E -0.235%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-18 05:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -2.46%E -0.290%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 18:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -2.46%E -0.290%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -2.46%E -0.290%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 19:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -2.46%E -0.290%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 19:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.40%EV -1.74%E -1.57%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 8.46I 11.82%NM 11.60%EV -2.92%E -0.345%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-17 21:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.76%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 8.45I 11.83%NM 11.24%EV -3.04%E -0.359%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 21:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.08%EV -8.82%E -8.56%K -293.98%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.92%EV -3.61%E -0.430%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.57%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 8.29I 12.06%NM 11.43%EV -4.87%E -0.588%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 19:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV -8.09%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 23:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 23:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 08:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 08:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 22:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -7.93%E -7.63%K -198.35%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -11.07%E -1.43%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 22:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -11.07%E -1.43%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -11.07%E -1.43%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -11.07%E -1.43%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 22:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -11.07%E -1.43%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-18 23:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -16.81%E -2.32%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 08:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -16.81%E -2.32%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 08:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -19.67%E -2.81%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -19.67%E -2.81%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-17 13:17 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -19.67%E -2.81%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-17 12:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 86.96%EV -7.05%E -6.71%K -140.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -19.67%E -2.81%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 87.17%EV -8.82%E -8.56%K -293.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -19.67%E -2.81%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -2.62%E -2.38%K -26.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -25.41%E -3.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 21:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -3.51%E -3.22%K -38.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -25.41%E -3.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 21:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -0.852%E -0.761%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -31.15%E -5.19%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 14:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17% | 0.3% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17% | 0.3% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.13% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.87% | 1.1% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.73% | 9.52I 10.50%NM 10.27% | 2.2% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |