Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Aryna Sabalenka v Xinyu Wang

Inizio: 2026-08-18 23:08 UTC

Finale: Aryna Sabalenka 2–0 Xinyu Wang

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

62 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Aryna Sabalenka (Casa)

Previsione 88.52%1.13quota equa
EV -0.852%
Vantaggio -0.761%
Kelly -7.10%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.12

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
84.27%88.40%88.77%91.21%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.031.071.071.1297.09%93.40%93.46%89.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Xinyu Wang (Trasferta)

Previsione 11.48%8.71quota equa
EV +26.23%
Vantaggio +2.38%
Kelly +2.62%
Crescita +0.688%

ipotizzando la quota massima 11.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
8.79%11.60%11.23%15.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
6.008.038.0011.0016.67%12.46%12.50%9.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Aryna Sabalenka (Casa): 88.52%; Xinyu Wang (Trasferta): 11.48%. Per Xinyu Wang (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 8.71. 10 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 11.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +26.23%.

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
DraftKings🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +26.23%E +2.38%K +2.62%G +0.688%3.4%2026-08-18 23:05
LeoVegas🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -7.93%E -7.63%K -198.35%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +20.49%E +1.95%K +2.16%G +0.442%5.7%2026-08-18 23:05
Coolbet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.67%EV -7.05%E -6.71%K -140.98%G +0.000%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.33%EV +17.05%E +1.67%K +1.85%G +0.316%5.0%2026-08-18 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.79%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV +9.01%E +0.949%K +1.06%G +0.096%3.1%2026-08-18 13:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +3.28%E +0.364%K +0.409%G +0.013%4.6%2026-08-18 13:25
FanDuel🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +3.28%E +0.364%K +0.409%G +0.013%4.6%2026-08-18 22:00
Paddy Power🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +3.28%E +0.364%K +0.409%G +0.013%5.5%2026-08-18 23:05
Sky Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +3.28%E +0.364%K +0.409%G +0.013%5.5%2026-08-18 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.05%E -6.71%K -140.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +3.28%E +0.364%K +0.409%G +0.013%6.3%2026-08-18 23:05
Pinnacle🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.22%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%8.94I 11.19%NM 10.78%EV +2.59%E +0.289%K +0.326%G +0.008%3.8%2026-08-18 20:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -2.00%E -0.235%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 05:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -2.00%E -0.235%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 05:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -2.46%E -0.290%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 18:04
Betway🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -2.46%E -0.290%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -2.46%E -0.290%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 19:15
Fanatics🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -2.46%E -0.290%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 19:15
GTbets🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 88.40%EV -1.74%E -1.57%K -15.79%G +0.000%8.46I 11.82%NM 11.60%EV -2.92%E -0.345%K -0.392%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-17 21:29
BetAnything🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.76%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%8.45I 11.83%NM 11.24%EV -3.04%E -0.359%K -0.408%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 21:29
Fliff🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.08%EV -8.82%E -8.56%K -293.98%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.92%EV -3.61%E -0.430%K -0.488%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-18 23:05
BetUS🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.57%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%8.29I 12.06%NM 11.43%EV -4.87%E -0.588%K -0.668%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 19:15
1xBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV -8.09%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 23:04
Bovada🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 23:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 13:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 13:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 13:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 11:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 08:55
Coral🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 08:55
TABtouch🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 22:00
William Hill🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 23:05
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 19:05
betfred_uk🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 19:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 19:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 19:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -7.93%E -7.63%K -198.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -8.20%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-18 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -11.07%E -1.43%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 22:50
NordicBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -11.07%E -1.43%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 23:05
Betsson🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -11.07%E -1.43%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 23:05
ReBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -11.07%E -1.43%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 22:59
SportsBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -11.07%E -1.43%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-18 23:04
BetRivers🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 23:05
Unibet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 23:05
Casumo🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 23:05
betPARX🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 23:05
BetMGM🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 23:05
Grosvenor🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 23:05
Bally Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.16%E -5.81%K -102.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -13.94%E -1.86%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-18 23:05
Neds🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -16.81%E -2.32%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 08:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -16.81%E -2.32%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 08:54
Bet Victor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -19.67%E -2.81%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-18 23:05
Caesars🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.39%E -4.07%K -54.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -19.67%E -2.81%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 13:17
betano_uk🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.28%E -4.93%K -75.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -19.67%E -2.81%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-17 12:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 86.96%EV -7.05%E -6.71%K -140.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -19.67%E -2.81%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-18 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 87.17%EV -8.82%E -8.56%K -293.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -19.67%E -2.81%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-18 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -2.62%E -2.38%K -26.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -25.41%E -3.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 21:10
TAB🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -3.51%E -3.22%K -38.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -25.41%E -3.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 21:09
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -0.852%E -0.761%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -31.15%E -5.19%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 14:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17%0.3%2026-08-18 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17%0.3%2026-08-18 23:05
Matchbook◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-08-18 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-08-18 23:05
Smarkets◎1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-08-18 23:05
ProphetX◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.13%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.87%1.1%2026-08-18 23:05
Novig◎1.09I 91.74%NM 89.73%9.52I 10.50%NM 10.27%2.2%2026-08-18 23:05