Language:English
Aryna Sabalenka v Sara Bejlek
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Prediction 86.17%1.16fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -20.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.70%86.22%86.42%88.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.101.101.1395.24%90.50%90.50%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sara Bejlek (Visit)
Prediction 13.83%7.23fair odd
EV +10.65%
Edge +1.33%
Kelly +1.52%
Growth +0.162%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.86%13.78%13.58%16.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.626.508.0018.18%15.12%15.38%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aryna Sabalenka (Local): 86.17%; Sara Bejlek (Visit): 13.83%. For Sara Bejlek (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.23. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.65%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -6.08%E -5.57%K -67.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +10.65%E +1.33%K +1.52%G +0.162% | 4.2% | 2026-08-20 01:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -6.08%E -5.57%K -67.51%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV +7.89%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.091% | 4.6% | 2026-08-20 01:16 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.14%EV -9.52%E -9.07%K -190.46%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV +7.89%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.091% | 8.1% | 2026-08-20 01:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.31%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 7.64I 13.09%NM 12.69%EV +5.67%E +0.742%K +0.854%G +0.048% | 3.2% | 2026-08-20 01:16 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +3.74%E +0.498%K +0.575%G +0.021% | 3.4% | 2026-08-19 22:31 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +3.74%E +0.498%K +0.575%G +0.021% | 4.2% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +3.74%E +0.498%K +0.575%G +0.021% | 4.2% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.96%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.04%EV +2.35%E +0.318%K +0.368%G +0.009% | 3.6% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +0.278%E +0.038%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-20 02:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV +0.278%E +0.038%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-20 01:26 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV +0.278%E +0.038%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV -1.38%E -0.194%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-19 11:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV -1.38%E -0.194%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-19 11:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -2.77%E -0.393%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-20 02:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.18%E -0.454%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.18%E -0.454%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.18%E -0.454%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.18%E -0.454%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.18%E -0.454%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 01:26 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.18%E -0.454%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 01:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.18%E -0.454%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 10:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.18%E -0.454%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 01:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.94%E -6.42%K -86.72%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.18%E -0.454%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 02:08 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.23%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.77%EV -3.87%E -0.557%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-20 02:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.16%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 13.84%EV -5.25%E -0.767%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-20 02:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.64%E -0.983%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-19 13:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-20 02:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 16:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 13:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-20 01:53 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.08%E -5.57%K -67.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-20 02:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -10.79%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -10.79%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 12:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -13.55%E -2.17%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 02:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.63%E -2.56%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-20 02:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.63%E -2.56%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-20 02:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.63%E -2.56%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.63%E -2.56%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.63%E -2.56%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.63%E -2.56%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-20 02:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.63%E -2.56%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-20 02:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.63%E -2.56%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.63%E -2.33%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 13:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-20 02:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-20 01:11 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-20 02:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-19 13:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-19 13:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -20.47%E -3.56%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-20 02:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.06%EV -6.08%E -5.57%K -67.51%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -20.47%E -3.56%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 83.71%EV -7.80%E -7.29%K -111.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.29%EV -23.93%E -4.35%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-08-20 01:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02% | 1.5% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02% | 1.5% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92% | 2.3% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |