Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aryna Sabalenka v Sara Bejlek

Início: 2026-08-20 02:12 UTC

Final: Aryna Sabalenka 0–2 Sara Bejlek

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Previsão 86.17%1.16odd justa
EV -2.63%
Vantagem -2.33%
Kelly -20.23%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.13

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
83.70%86.22%86.42%88.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.051.101.101.1395.24%90.50%90.50%88.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sara Bejlek (Visitante)

Previsão 13.83%7.23odd justa
EV +10.65%
Vantagem +1.33%
Kelly +1.52%
Crescimento +0.162%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.86%13.78%13.58%16.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.506.626.508.0018.18%15.12%15.38%12.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Aryna Sabalenka (Local): 86.17%; Sara Bejlek (Visitante): 13.83%. Para Sara Bejlek (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 7.23. 11 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 8.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +10.65%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Betclic (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -6.08%E -5.57%K -67.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +10.65%E +1.33%K +1.52%G +0.162%4.2%2026-08-20 01:24
FanDuel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -6.08%E -5.57%K -67.51%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV +7.89%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.091%4.6%2026-08-20 01:16
Tipico (DE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.14%EV -9.52%E -9.07%K -190.46%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV +7.89%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.091%8.1%2026-08-20 01:30
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.31%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000%7.64I 13.09%NM 12.69%EV +5.67%E +0.742%K +0.854%G +0.048%3.2%2026-08-20 01:16
Winamax (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +3.74%E +0.498%K +0.575%G +0.021%3.4%2026-08-19 22:31
Sky Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +3.74%E +0.498%K +0.575%G +0.021%4.2%2026-08-20 02:11
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +3.74%E +0.498%K +0.575%G +0.021%4.2%2026-08-20 02:11
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.96%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.04%EV +2.35%E +0.318%K +0.368%G +0.009%3.6%2026-08-20 02:11
Coolbet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +0.278%E +0.038%K +0.044%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-20 02:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV +0.278%E +0.038%K +0.044%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 01:26
Bovada🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV +0.278%E +0.038%K +0.044%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 02:11
BetOnline.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000%7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV -1.38%E -0.194%K -0.225%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-19 11:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000%7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV -1.38%E -0.194%K -0.225%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-19 11:50
1xBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000%7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -2.77%E -0.393%K -0.459%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 02:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.18%E -0.454%K -0.530%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-20 02:11
Betsson🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.18%E -0.454%K -0.530%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 22:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.18%E -0.454%K -0.530%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 21:35
NordicBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.18%E -0.454%K -0.530%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 22:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.18%E -0.454%K -0.530%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 01:26
ReBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.18%E -0.454%K -0.530%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 01:25
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.18%E -0.454%K -0.530%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 10:10
BetUS🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.18%E -0.454%K -0.530%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 01:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.94%E -6.42%K -86.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.18%E -0.454%K -0.530%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 02:08
GTbets🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.23%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.77%EV -3.87%E -0.557%K -0.651%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-20 02:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.16%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.84%EV -5.25%E -0.767%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-20 02:09
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.64%E -0.983%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-20 02:11
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-19 13:10
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 22:30
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 22:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 22:30
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-20 02:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-19 16:05
betfred_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-19 13:40
Caesars🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-20 01:53
Coral🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-19 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-19 21:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.08%E -5.57%K -67.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-20 02:10
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -10.79%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 21:35
BetAnything🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -10.79%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 12:40
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -13.55%E -2.17%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 02:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.63%E -2.56%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-20 02:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.63%E -2.56%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-20 02:10
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.63%E -2.56%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-20 02:11
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.63%E -2.56%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-20 02:11
Casumo🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.63%E -2.56%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-20 02:11
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.63%E -2.56%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-20 02:10
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.63%E -2.56%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-20 02:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.63%E -2.56%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-20 02:11
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.63%E -2.33%K -20.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 13:00
PlayUp🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 02:10
TAB🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-20 01:11
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-19 21:35
Neds🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-19 21:35
Grosvenor🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-20 02:11
TABtouch🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-20 02:10
betano_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-19 13:54
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-19 13:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-20 02:11
LiveScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-20 02:11
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -20.47%E -3.56%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-20 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.06%EV -6.08%E -5.57%K -67.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -20.47%E -3.56%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-20 02:11
PMU (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 83.71%EV -7.80%E -7.29%K -111.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.29%EV -23.93%E -4.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-20 02:11
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%0.7%2026-08-20 01:55
Novig◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-08-20 02:11
Matchbook◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-08-20 02:11
ProphetX◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-08-20 02:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-08-20 02:11
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-08-20 02:11
Smarkets◎1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92%2.3%2026-08-20 02:11