Lingua:Italiano
Aryna Sabalenka v Sara Bejlek
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Aryna Sabalenka (Casa)
Previsione 86.17%1.16quota equa
EV -2.63%
Vantaggio -2.33%
Kelly -20.23%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.13
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
83.70%86.22%86.42%88.14%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.051.101.101.1395.24%90.50%90.50%88.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Sara Bejlek (Trasferta)
Previsione 13.83%7.23quota equa
EV +10.65%
Vantaggio +1.33%
Kelly +1.52%
Crescita +0.162%
ipotizzando la quota massima 8.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.86%13.78%13.58%16.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.506.626.508.0018.18%15.12%15.38%12.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Aryna Sabalenka (Casa): 86.17%; Sara Bejlek (Trasferta): 13.83%. Per Sara Bejlek (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 7.23. 11 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 8.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +10.65%.
Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -6.08%E -5.57%K -67.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +10.65%E +1.33%K +1.52%G +0.162% | 4.2% | 2026-08-20 01:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -6.08%E -5.57%K -67.51%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV +7.89%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.091% | 4.6% | 2026-08-20 01:16 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.14%EV -9.52%E -9.07%K -190.46%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV +7.89%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.091% | 8.1% | 2026-08-20 01:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.31%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 7.64I 13.09%NM 12.69%EV +5.67%E +0.742%K +0.854%G +0.048% | 3.2% | 2026-08-20 01:16 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +3.74%E +0.498%K +0.575%G +0.021% | 3.4% | 2026-08-19 22:31 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +3.74%E +0.498%K +0.575%G +0.021% | 4.2% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +3.74%E +0.498%K +0.575%G +0.021% | 4.2% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.96%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.04%EV +2.35%E +0.318%K +0.368%G +0.009% | 3.6% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +0.278%E +0.038%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-20 02:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV +0.278%E +0.038%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-20 01:26 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV +0.278%E +0.038%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV -1.38%E -0.194%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-19 11:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV -1.38%E -0.194%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-19 11:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -2.77%E -0.393%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-20 02:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.18%E -0.454%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.18%E -0.454%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.18%E -0.454%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.18%E -0.454%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.18%E -0.454%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 01:26 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.18%E -0.454%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 01:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.18%E -0.454%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 10:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.18%E -0.454%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 01:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.94%E -6.42%K -86.72%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.18%E -0.454%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 02:08 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.23%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.77%EV -3.87%E -0.557%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-20 02:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.16%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 13.84%EV -5.25%E -0.767%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-20 02:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.64%E -0.983%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-19 13:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-20 02:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 16:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 13:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-20 01:53 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.08%E -5.57%K -67.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-20 02:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -10.79%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -10.79%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 12:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -13.55%E -2.17%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 02:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.63%E -2.56%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-20 02:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.63%E -2.56%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-20 02:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.63%E -2.56%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.63%E -2.56%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.63%E -2.56%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.63%E -2.56%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-20 02:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.63%E -2.56%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-20 02:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.63%E -2.56%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.63%E -2.33%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 13:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-20 02:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-20 01:11 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-20 02:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-19 13:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-19 13:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -20.47%E -3.56%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-20 02:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.06%EV -6.08%E -5.57%K -67.51%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -20.47%E -3.56%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 83.71%EV -7.80%E -7.29%K -111.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.29%EV -23.93%E -4.35%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-08-20 01:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02% | 1.5% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02% | 1.5% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92% | 2.3% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |