Langue:Français
Aryna Sabalenka v Sara Bejlek
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Prévision 86.17%1.16cote équitable
EV -2.63%
Avantage -2.33%
Kelly -20.23%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.13
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
83.70%86.22%86.42%88.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.051.101.101.1395.24%90.50%90.50%88.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Sara Bejlek (Visiteur)
Prévision 13.83%7.23cote équitable
EV +10.65%
Avantage +1.33%
Kelly +1.52%
Croissance +0.162%
avec la cote maximale 8.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.86%13.78%13.58%16.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.506.626.508.0018.18%15.12%15.38%12.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Aryna Sabalenka (Local) : 86.17% ; Sara Bejlek (Visiteur) : 13.83%. Pour Sara Bejlek (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.23. 11 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 8.00, soit une espérance positive de +10.65%.
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -6.08%E -5.57%K -67.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +10.65%E +1.33%K +1.52%G +0.162% | 4.2% | 2026-08-20 01:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -6.08%E -5.57%K -67.51%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV +7.89%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.091% | 4.6% | 2026-08-20 01:16 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.14%EV -9.52%E -9.07%K -190.46%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV +7.89%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.091% | 8.1% | 2026-08-20 01:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.31%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 7.64I 13.09%NM 12.69%EV +5.67%E +0.742%K +0.854%G +0.048% | 3.2% | 2026-08-20 01:16 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +3.74%E +0.498%K +0.575%G +0.021% | 3.4% | 2026-08-19 22:31 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +3.74%E +0.498%K +0.575%G +0.021% | 4.2% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +3.74%E +0.498%K +0.575%G +0.021% | 4.2% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.96%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.04%EV +2.35%E +0.318%K +0.368%G +0.009% | 3.6% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +0.278%E +0.038%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-20 02:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV +0.278%E +0.038%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-20 01:26 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV +0.278%E +0.038%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV -1.38%E -0.194%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-19 11:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV -1.38%E -0.194%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-19 11:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -2.77%E -0.393%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-20 02:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.18%E -0.454%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.18%E -0.454%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.18%E -0.454%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.18%E -0.454%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.18%E -0.454%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 01:26 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.18%E -0.454%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 01:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.18%E -0.454%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 10:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.18%E -0.454%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 01:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.94%E -6.42%K -86.72%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.18%E -0.454%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 02:08 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.23%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.77%EV -3.87%E -0.557%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-20 02:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.16%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 13.84%EV -5.25%E -0.767%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-20 02:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.64%E -0.983%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-19 13:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-20 02:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 16:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 13:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-20 01:53 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.08%E -5.57%K -67.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -10.10%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-20 02:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -10.79%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -10.79%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 12:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -13.55%E -2.17%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 02:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.63%E -2.56%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-20 02:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.63%E -2.56%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-20 02:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.63%E -2.56%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.63%E -2.56%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.63%E -2.56%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.63%E -2.56%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-20 02:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.63%E -2.56%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-20 02:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -15.63%E -2.56%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.63%E -2.33%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 13:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-20 02:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-20 01:11 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-20 02:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-19 13:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-19 13:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.01%E -2.84%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -3.49%E -3.12%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -20.47%E -3.56%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-20 02:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.06%EV -6.08%E -5.57%K -67.51%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -20.47%E -3.56%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 83.71%EV -7.80%E -7.29%K -111.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.29%EV -23.93%E -4.35%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-08-20 01:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02% | 1.5% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02% | 1.5% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92% | 2.3% | 2026-08-20 02:11 |