Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sinja Kraus v Dayana Yastremska

2026-10-04 03:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sinja Kraus (Local)

Prediction 32.24%3.10fair odd
EV -1.68%
Edge -0.551%
Kelly -0.820%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.03%32.29%32.34%34.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.912.953.0537.74%34.42%33.90%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dayana Yastremska (Visit)

Prediction 67.76%1.48fair odd
EV -3.77%
Edge -2.66%
Kelly -8.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.95%67.71%67.66%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.391.401.4274.63%71.78%71.43%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sinja Kraus (Local): 32.24%; Dayana Yastremska (Visit): 67.76%. For Sinja Kraus (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.10. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.05, with an expected value of -1.68%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -1.68%E -0.551%K -0.820%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.81%E -4.18%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-02 10:05
FanDuel🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -2.65%E -0.877%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-02 10:59
Marathon Bet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -2.65%E -0.877%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -6.49%E -4.70%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 11:05
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.29%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 10:55
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.29%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 10:10
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.29%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 11:09
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -3.29%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.81%E -4.18%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 11:10
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -3.29%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.52%E -6.31%K -24.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-02 10:55
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.45%E -3.16%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 10:55
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.45%E -3.16%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 10:55
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
Bally Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.52%E -6.31%K -24.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-02 10:59
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 09:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 10:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 09:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 09:50
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 12:09
GTbets🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -6.84%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-02 09:55
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.48%E -2.61%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-02 12:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.48%E -2.61%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-02 12:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-02 10:55
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.74%E -3.48%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-02 10:55
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.74%E -3.48%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.49%E -4.70%K -17.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-02 10:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -9.74%E -3.48%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 67.63%EV -9.20%E -6.86%K -27.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-02 09:55
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.35%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-02 12:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.35%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-02 12:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -11.35%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -7.84%E -5.77%K -21.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-02 10:55
ReBet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 33.25%EV -12.00%E -4.39%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.75%EV -7.84%E -5.77%K -21.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-02 10:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.75%EV -14.58%E -5.50%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.25%EV -8.52%E -6.31%K -24.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-02 10:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.75%EV -14.58%E -5.50%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.25%EV -8.52%E -6.31%K -24.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-02 10:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 31.78%1.23I 81.30%NM 68.22%19.2%2026-10-02 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 31.78%1.23I 81.30%NM 68.22%19.2%2026-10-02 12:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 31.78%1.23I 81.30%NM 68.22%19.2%2026-10-02 12:56
Smarkets◎2.62I 38.17%NM 31.23%1.19I 84.03%NM 68.77%22.2%2026-10-02 12:55