Language:English
Sinja Kraus v Dayana Yastremska
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sinja Kraus (Local)
Prediction 29.96%3.34fair odd
EV +1.57%
Edge +0.464%
Kelly +0.659%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 3.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.18%29.99%29.96%31.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.123.103.3934.48%32.00%32.26%29.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dayana Yastremska (Visit)
Prediction 70.04%1.43fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -6.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.49%70.01%70.04%71.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.351.361.3976.92%73.81%73.53%71.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sinja Kraus (Local): 29.96%; Dayana Yastremska (Visit): 70.04%. For Sinja Kraus (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.39, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.57%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV +1.57%E +0.464%K +0.659%G +0.010% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 02:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.82%EV -0.822%E -0.248%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.18%EV -6.15%E -4.59%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 07:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -1.12%E -0.340%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.45%E -4.04%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 14:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV -1.42%E -0.432%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -6.15%E -4.59%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 14:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.76%EV -1.72%E -0.525%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.24%EV -2.65%E -1.91%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-10-03 23:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.62%E -0.806%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.45%E -4.04%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.62%E -0.806%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.45%E -4.04%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 09:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.62%E -0.806%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.45%E -4.04%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 09:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.62%E -0.806%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.45%E -4.04%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.62%E -0.806%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 14:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.62%E -0.806%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 10:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.62%E -0.806%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 09:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.41%EV -2.92%E -0.901%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.59%EV -5.45%E -4.04%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 23:41 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -3.52%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -5.45%E -4.04%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 02:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.12%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.75%E -3.49%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.12%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.45%E -4.04%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 09:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.12%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.15%E -4.59%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 07:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.12%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.95%E -6.89%K -29.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-04 02:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.12%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.95%E -6.89%K -29.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-03 09:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.72%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.75%E -3.49%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 01:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -4.72%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.45%E -4.04%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-04 02:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.62%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.75%E -3.49%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 02:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.62%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.75%E -3.49%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 01:13 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.62%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.75%E -3.49%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 02:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.62%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.45%E -4.04%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 02:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.62%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.45%E -4.04%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 01:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -5.92%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.35%E -2.43%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 21:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -5.92%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.35%E -2.43%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 21:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.11%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.35%E -2.43%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 01:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.11%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.75%E -3.49%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 18:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.11%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.75%E -3.49%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 02:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.11%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.75%E -3.49%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 02:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.11%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.75%E -3.49%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 02:56 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.11%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.75%E -3.49%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 02:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.11%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.75%E -3.49%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 02:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.11%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-03 07:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.11%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-03 07:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.11%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-03 09:03 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.61%E -2.82%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.35%E -2.43%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 01:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.61%E -2.82%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.35%E -2.43%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 01:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.61%E -2.82%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.35%E -2.43%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 01:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.61%E -2.82%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.35%E -2.43%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 01:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.61%E -2.82%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.35%E -2.43%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 01:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.61%E -2.82%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.35%E -2.43%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 01:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.61%E -2.82%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.35%E -2.43%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 01:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.61%E -2.82%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.35%E -2.43%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 01:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.61%E -2.82%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.35%E -2.43%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 01:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.61%E -2.82%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.35%E -2.43%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 01:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.61%E -2.82%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.35%E -2.43%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 01:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.61%E -2.82%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.35%E -2.43%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 01:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.61%E -2.82%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.35%E -2.43%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 01:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.61%E -2.82%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.35%E -2.43%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 01:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.11%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.35%E -2.43%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 02:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.11%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.75%E -3.49%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 07:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.11%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.75%E -3.49%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 07:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.11%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.75%E -3.49%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 21:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.11%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-03 15:57 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.11%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-03 15:51 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.75%EV -11.61%E -3.94%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.25%EV -8.25%E -6.30%K -26.62%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-03 09:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -13.11%E -4.52%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.72%EV -7.55%E -5.72%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-04 01:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -13.11%E -4.52%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.05%EV -8.95%E -6.89%K -29.84%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-03 09:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-10-04 00:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-10-04 00:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-10-04 00:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-10-03 23:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53% | 1.3% | 2026-10-04 00:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36% | 2.2% | 2026-10-04 02:56 |