StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Sinja Kraus v Dayana Yastremska

2026-10-04 04:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Matchresultat

45 spelbolag (11 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Sinja Kraus (Hemma)

Prognos 32.24%3.10rättvist odds
EV -1.68%
Fördel -0.551%
Kelly -0.820%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.05

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
31.03%32.29%32.34%34.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.652.902.953.0537.74%34.47%33.90%32.79%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Dayana Yastremska (Borta)

Prognos 67.76%1.48rättvist odds
EV -3.77%
Fördel -2.66%
Kelly -8.99%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.42

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
65.53%67.71%67.66%68.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.341.391.401.4274.63%71.75%71.43%70.42%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Sinja Kraus (Hemma): 32.24%; Dayana Yastremska (Borta): 67.76%. För Sinja Kraus (Hemma) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.10. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån: bästa tillgängliga odds är 3.05, med väntevärdet -1.68%; det ger inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (45 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -1.68%E -0.551%K -0.820%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.81%E -4.18%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-02 10:05
FanDuel🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -2.65%E -0.877%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-02 10:59
Marathon Bet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -2.65%E -0.877%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -6.49%E -4.70%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 11:05
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.29%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 10:55
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.29%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 10:10
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.29%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 11:09
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -3.29%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.81%E -4.18%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 11:10
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -3.29%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.52%E -6.31%K -24.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-02 10:55
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.45%E -3.16%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 10:55
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.45%E -3.16%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 10:55
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
Bally Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.52%E -6.31%K -24.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-02 10:59
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 09:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 10:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 09:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 09:50
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 12:09
GTbets🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -6.84%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-02 09:55
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.48%E -2.61%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-02 12:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.48%E -2.61%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-02 12:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-02 10:55
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.74%E -3.48%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-02 10:55
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.74%E -3.48%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.49%E -4.70%K -17.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-02 10:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -9.74%E -3.48%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 67.63%EV -9.20%E -6.86%K -27.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-02 09:55
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.35%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-02 12:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.35%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-02 12:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -11.35%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -7.84%E -5.77%K -21.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-02 10:55
ReBet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 33.25%EV -12.00%E -4.39%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.75%EV -7.84%E -5.77%K -21.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-02 10:54
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -12.96%E -4.80%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 13:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.75%EV -14.58%E -5.50%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.25%EV -8.52%E -6.31%K -24.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-02 10:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.75%EV -14.58%E -5.50%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.25%EV -8.52%E -6.31%K -24.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-02 10:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets◎2.64I 37.88%NM 33.67%1.34I 74.63%NM 66.33%12.5%2026-10-02 13:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 31.78%1.23I 81.30%NM 68.22%19.2%2026-10-02 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 31.78%1.23I 81.30%NM 68.22%19.2%2026-10-02 12:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 31.78%1.23I 81.30%NM 68.22%19.2%2026-10-02 12:56