Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sinja Kraus v Dayana Yastremska

2026-10-04 04:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sinja Kraus (Local)

Previsão 32.24%3.10odd justa
EV -1.68%
Vantagem -0.551%
Kelly -0.820%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.03%32.29%32.34%34.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.652.902.953.0537.74%34.47%33.90%32.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Dayana Yastremska (Visitante)

Previsão 67.76%1.48odd justa
EV -3.77%
Vantagem -2.66%
Kelly -8.99%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.53%67.71%67.66%68.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.341.391.401.4274.63%71.75%71.43%70.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Sinja Kraus (Local): 32.24%; Dayana Yastremska (Visitante): 67.76%. Para Sinja Kraus (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 3.10. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 3.05, com valor esperado de -1.68%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -1.68%E -0.551%K -0.820%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.81%E -4.18%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-02 10:05
FanDuel🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -2.65%E -0.877%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-02 10:59
Marathon Bet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -2.65%E -0.877%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -6.49%E -4.70%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 11:05
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.29%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 10:55
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.29%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 10:10
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.29%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 11:09
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -3.29%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.81%E -4.18%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 11:10
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -3.29%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.52%E -6.31%K -24.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-02 10:55
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.45%E -3.16%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 10:55
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.45%E -3.16%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 10:55
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
Bally Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.52%E -6.31%K -24.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-02 10:59
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 09:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 10:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 09:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 09:50
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 12:09
GTbets🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -6.84%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-02 09:55
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.48%E -2.61%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-02 12:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.48%E -2.61%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-02 12:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-02 10:55
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.74%E -3.48%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-02 10:55
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.74%E -3.48%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.49%E -4.70%K -17.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-02 10:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -9.74%E -3.48%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 67.63%EV -9.20%E -6.86%K -27.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-02 09:55
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.35%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-02 12:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.35%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-02 12:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -11.35%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -7.84%E -5.77%K -21.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-02 10:55
ReBet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 33.25%EV -12.00%E -4.39%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.75%EV -7.84%E -5.77%K -21.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-02 10:54
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -12.96%E -4.80%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 13:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.75%EV -14.58%E -5.50%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.25%EV -8.52%E -6.31%K -24.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-02 10:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.75%EV -14.58%E -5.50%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.25%EV -8.52%E -6.31%K -24.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-02 10:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎2.64I 37.88%NM 33.67%1.34I 74.63%NM 66.33%12.5%2026-10-02 13:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 31.78%1.23I 81.30%NM 68.22%19.2%2026-10-02 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 31.78%1.23I 81.30%NM 68.22%19.2%2026-10-02 12:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 31.78%1.23I 81.30%NM 68.22%19.2%2026-10-02 12:56