Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sinja Kraus v Dayana Yastremska

2026-10-04 04:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sinja Kraus (Local)

Prévision 32.24%3.10cote équitable
EV -1.68%
Avantage -0.551%
Kelly -0.820%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.03%32.29%32.34%34.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.652.902.953.0537.74%34.47%33.90%32.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Dayana Yastremska (Visiteur)

Prévision 67.76%1.48cote équitable
EV -3.77%
Avantage -2.66%
Kelly -8.99%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.53%67.71%67.66%68.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.341.391.401.4274.63%71.75%71.43%70.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Sinja Kraus (Local) : 32.24% ; Dayana Yastremska (Visiteur) : 67.76%. Pour Sinja Kraus (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.10. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 3.05, pour une espérance de -1.68% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -1.68%E -0.551%K -0.820%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.81%E -4.18%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-02 10:05
FanDuel🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -2.65%E -0.877%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-02 10:59
Marathon Bet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -2.65%E -0.877%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -6.49%E -4.70%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 11:05
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.29%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 10:55
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.29%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 10:10
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.29%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 11:09
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -3.29%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.81%E -4.18%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 11:10
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -3.29%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.52%E -6.31%K -24.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-02 10:55
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.45%E -3.16%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 10:55
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.45%E -3.16%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 10:55
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
Bally Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 09:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 10:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -4.90%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.52%E -6.31%K -24.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-02 10:59
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 09:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 10:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 09:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 09:50
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.52%E -2.25%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 12:09
GTbets🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -6.84%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-02 09:55
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.48%E -2.61%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-02 12:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.48%E -2.61%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-02 12:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.13%E -2.85%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.13%E -3.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-02 10:55
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.74%E -3.48%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-02 10:55
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.74%E -3.48%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.49%E -4.70%K -17.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-02 10:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -9.74%E -3.48%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 67.63%EV -9.20%E -6.86%K -27.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-02 09:55
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.35%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-02 12:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.35%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-02 12:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -11.35%E -4.13%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -7.84%E -5.77%K -21.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-02 10:55
ReBet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 33.25%EV -12.00%E -4.39%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.75%EV -7.84%E -5.77%K -21.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-02 10:54
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -12.96%E -4.80%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.77%E -2.66%K -8.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 13:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.75%EV -14.58%E -5.50%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.25%EV -8.52%E -6.31%K -24.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-02 10:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.75%EV -14.58%E -5.50%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.25%EV -8.52%E -6.31%K -24.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-02 10:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎2.64I 37.88%NM 33.67%1.34I 74.63%NM 66.33%12.5%2026-10-02 13:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 31.78%1.23I 81.30%NM 68.22%19.2%2026-10-02 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 31.78%1.23I 81.30%NM 68.22%19.2%2026-10-02 12:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 31.78%1.23I 81.30%NM 68.22%19.2%2026-10-02 12:56