StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Maria Timofeeva v Naomi Osaka

2026-10-02 04:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Matchresultat

50 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Maria Timofeeva (Hemma)

Prognos 21.76%4.60rättvist odds
EV +14.22%
Fördel +2.71%
Kelly +3.35%
Tillväxt +0.476%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.97%21.58%21.71%24.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.804.564.455.2526.32%21.92%22.47%19.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Naomi Osaka (Borta)

Prognos 78.24%1.28rättvist odds
EV -2.19%
Fördel -1.76%
Kelly -8.78%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
75.25%78.42%78.29%82.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.111.191.181.2590.09%84.18%84.75%80.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Maria Timofeeva (Hemma): 21.76%; Naomi Osaka (Borta): 78.24%. För Maria Timofeeva (Hemma) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.60. 19 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 5.25, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +14.22%.

Spelbolagsodds (50 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
LiveScore Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
BetRivers🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
Unibet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
Unibet (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
Virgin Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
TABtouch🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
Unibet (NL)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
Grosvenor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
Casumo🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
Bally Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
betPARX🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
ATG (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
Svenska Spel🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -10.02%E -8.71%K -66.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-30 09:50
PMU (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV +4.43%E +0.922%K +1.17%G +0.052%1.11I 90.09%NM 81.22%EV -13.15%E -11.85%K -119.53%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-30 09:50
FanDuel🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +3.34%E +0.703%K +0.891%G +0.030%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-30 09:05
GTbets🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +3.34%E +0.703%K +0.891%G +0.030%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.67%E -6.50%K -42.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-30 10:00
SportsBet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +3.34%E +0.703%K +0.891%G +0.030%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-30 09:05
Bet Right🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.10%E -0.467%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.32%E -4.40%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-30 10:20
Betsson🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.10%E -0.467%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.32%E -4.40%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-30 11:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.10%E -0.467%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-30 10:15
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.10%E -0.467%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-30 09:15
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.10%E -0.467%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.45%E -7.23%K -49.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-30 09:05
Tipico (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -2.10%E -0.467%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-30 11:20
DraftKings🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.28%E -0.972%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.54%E -3.72%K -20.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-30 09:59
Fanatics🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.28%E -0.972%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.32%E -4.40%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-30 10:25
Betr (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.28%E -0.972%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-30 10:20
theScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -4.28%E -0.972%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.67%E -6.50%K -42.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-30 10:05
Marathon Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.36%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.32%E -4.40%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-30 10:00
Unibet (UK)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -6.45%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -6.89%E -5.79%K -36.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-30 10:20
1xBet🎯4.28I 23.36%NM 22.18%EV -6.89%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.82%EV -4.54%E -3.72%K -20.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 10:04
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.54%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.54%E -3.72%K -20.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 10:20
LeoVegas🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -7.54%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -7.67%E -6.50%K -42.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-30 10:25
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.63%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.54%E -3.72%K -20.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-30 10:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.63%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.54%E -3.72%K -20.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-30 10:00
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.63%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.54%E -3.72%K -20.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-30 10:00
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.63%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-30 10:04
Caesars🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.63%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-30 12:17
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.80%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.54%E -3.72%K -20.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-30 10:55
TAB🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.98%E -3.24%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.54%E -3.72%K -20.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-30 10:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.98%E -3.24%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.54%E -3.72%K -20.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-30 10:50
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.98%E -3.24%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.54%E -3.72%K -20.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-30 10:55
Betclic (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.98%E -3.24%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -7.67%E -6.50%K -42.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-30 10:19
ReBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.98%E -3.24%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -8.45%E -7.23%K -49.73%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-30 10:20
Winamax (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -15.15%E -3.89%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.92%EV -8.45%E -7.23%K -49.73%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-30 10:20
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -16.24%E -4.22%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -2.19%E -1.76%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-30 10:00
Neds🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -17.33%E -4.56%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.19%E -1.76%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-30 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -17.33%E -4.56%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.19%E -1.76%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-30 10:50
Unibet (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -17.33%E -4.56%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.46%EV -8.45%E -7.23%K -49.73%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-30 10:19
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%5.2%2026-09-30 09:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%5.2%2026-09-30 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%5.2%2026-09-30 09:50
Matchbook◎3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%9.3%2026-09-30 09:30
Smarkets◎4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%1.16I 86.21%NM 77.52%11.2%2026-09-30 10:05
Arbitrage (45 kombinationer) +0.96%LiveScore Bet 5.25 (19.2%) / PlayUp 1.25 (80.8%)Visa alla 45 kombinationer
Maria Timofeeva (Hemma)Naomi Osaka (Borta)Marginal
LiveScore Bet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
LiveScore Bet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
LiveScore Bet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
BetRivers🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
BetRivers🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
BetRivers🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Unibet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Unibet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Unibet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Unibet (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Unibet (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Unibet (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Virgin Bet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Virgin Bet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Virgin Bet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
TABtouch🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
TABtouch🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
TABtouch🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Unibet (NL)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Unibet (NL)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Unibet (NL)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Grosvenor🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Grosvenor🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Grosvenor🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Casumo🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Casumo🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Casumo🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Bally Bet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Bally Bet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Bally Bet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
betPARX🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
betPARX🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
betPARX🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
ATG (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
ATG (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
ATG (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Svenska Spel🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Svenska Spel🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Svenska Spel🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Hard Rock Bet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Hard Rock Bet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Hard Rock Bet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%