Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Maria Timofeeva v Naomi Osaka

2026-10-02 04:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Testa a testa

50 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Maria Timofeeva (Casa)

Previsione 21.76%4.60quota equa
EV +14.22%
Vantaggio +2.71%
Kelly +3.35%
Crescita +0.476%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.97%21.58%21.71%24.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.804.564.455.2526.32%21.92%22.47%19.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Naomi Osaka (Trasferta)

Previsione 78.24%1.28quota equa
EV -2.19%
Vantaggio -1.76%
Kelly -8.78%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
75.25%78.42%78.29%82.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.111.191.181.2590.09%84.18%84.75%80.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Maria Timofeeva (Casa): 21.76%; Naomi Osaka (Trasferta): 78.24%. Per Maria Timofeeva (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 4.60. 19 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 5.25, con un valore atteso positivo del +14.22%.

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
LiveScore Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
BetRivers🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
Unibet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
Unibet (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
Virgin Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
TABtouch🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
Unibet (NL)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
Grosvenor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
Casumo🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
Bally Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
betPARX🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
ATG (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
Svenska Spel🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -10.02%E -8.71%K -66.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-30 09:50
PMU (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV +4.43%E +0.922%K +1.17%G +0.052%1.11I 90.09%NM 81.22%EV -13.15%E -11.85%K -119.53%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-30 09:50
FanDuel🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +3.34%E +0.703%K +0.891%G +0.030%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-30 09:05
GTbets🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +3.34%E +0.703%K +0.891%G +0.030%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.67%E -6.50%K -42.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-30 10:00
SportsBet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +3.34%E +0.703%K +0.891%G +0.030%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-30 09:05
Bet Right🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.10%E -0.467%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.32%E -4.40%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-30 10:20
Betsson🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.10%E -0.467%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.32%E -4.40%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-30 11:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.10%E -0.467%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-30 10:15
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.10%E -0.467%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-30 09:15
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.10%E -0.467%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.45%E -7.23%K -49.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-30 09:05
Tipico (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -2.10%E -0.467%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-30 11:20
DraftKings🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.28%E -0.972%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.54%E -3.72%K -20.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-30 09:59
Fanatics🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.28%E -0.972%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.32%E -4.40%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-30 10:25
Betr (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.28%E -0.972%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-30 10:20
theScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -4.28%E -0.972%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.67%E -6.50%K -42.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-30 10:05
Marathon Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.36%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.32%E -4.40%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-30 10:00
Unibet (UK)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -6.45%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -6.89%E -5.79%K -36.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-30 10:20
1xBet🎯4.28I 23.36%NM 22.18%EV -6.89%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.82%EV -4.54%E -3.72%K -20.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 10:04
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.54%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.54%E -3.72%K -20.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 10:20
LeoVegas🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -7.54%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -7.67%E -6.50%K -42.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-30 10:25
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.63%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.54%E -3.72%K -20.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-30 10:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.63%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.54%E -3.72%K -20.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-30 10:00
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.63%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.54%E -3.72%K -20.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-30 10:00
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.63%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-30 10:04
Caesars🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.63%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-30 12:17
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.80%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.54%E -3.72%K -20.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-30 10:55
TAB🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.98%E -3.24%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.54%E -3.72%K -20.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-30 10:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.98%E -3.24%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.54%E -3.72%K -20.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-30 10:50
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.98%E -3.24%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.54%E -3.72%K -20.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-30 10:55
Betclic (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.98%E -3.24%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -7.67%E -6.50%K -42.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-30 10:19
ReBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.98%E -3.24%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -8.45%E -7.23%K -49.73%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-30 10:20
Winamax (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -15.15%E -3.89%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.92%EV -8.45%E -7.23%K -49.73%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-30 10:20
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -16.24%E -4.22%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -2.19%E -1.76%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-30 10:00
Neds🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -17.33%E -4.56%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.19%E -1.76%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-30 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -17.33%E -4.56%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.19%E -1.76%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-30 10:50
Unibet (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -17.33%E -4.56%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.46%EV -8.45%E -7.23%K -49.73%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-30 10:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%5.2%2026-09-30 09:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%5.2%2026-09-30 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%5.2%2026-09-30 09:50
Matchbook◎3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%9.3%2026-09-30 09:30
Smarkets◎4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%1.16I 86.21%NM 77.52%11.2%2026-09-30 10:05
Arbitraggio (45 combinazioni) +0.96%LiveScore Bet 5.25 (19.2%) / PlayUp 1.25 (80.8%)Mostra tutte le 45 combinazioni
Maria Timofeeva (Casa)Naomi Osaka (Trasferta)Margine
LiveScore Bet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
LiveScore Bet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
LiveScore Bet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
BetRivers🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
BetRivers🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
BetRivers🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Unibet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Unibet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Unibet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Unibet (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Unibet (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Unibet (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Virgin Bet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Virgin Bet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Virgin Bet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
TABtouch🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
TABtouch🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
TABtouch🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Unibet (NL)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Unibet (NL)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Unibet (NL)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Grosvenor🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Grosvenor🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Grosvenor🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Casumo🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Casumo🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Casumo🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Bally Bet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Bally Bet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Bally Bet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
betPARX🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
betPARX🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
betPARX🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
ATG (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
ATG (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
ATG (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Svenska Spel🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Svenska Spel🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Svenska Spel🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Hard Rock Bet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Hard Rock Bet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Hard Rock Bet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%