Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Maria Timofeeva v Naomi Osaka

2026-10-02 04:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Maria Timofeeva (Local)

Prévision 21.76%4.60cote équitable
EV +14.22%
Avantage +2.71%
Kelly +3.35%
Croissance +0.476%

avec la cote maximale 5.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.97%21.58%21.71%24.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.564.455.2526.32%21.92%22.47%19.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Naomi Osaka (Visiteur)

Prévision 78.24%1.28cote équitable
EV -2.19%
Avantage -1.76%
Kelly -8.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.25%78.42%78.29%82.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.111.191.181.2590.09%84.18%84.75%80.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Maria Timofeeva (Local) : 21.76% ; Naomi Osaka (Visiteur) : 78.24%. Pour Maria Timofeeva (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.60. 19 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 5.25, pour une espérance positive de +14.22%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LiveScore Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
BetRivers🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
Unibet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
Unibet (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
Virgin Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
TABtouch🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
Unibet (NL)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
Grosvenor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
Casumo🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
Bally Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
betPARX🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
ATG (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
Svenska Spel🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +14.22%E +2.71%K +3.35%G +0.476%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -10.02%E -8.71%K -66.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-30 09:50
PMU (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV +4.43%E +0.922%K +1.17%G +0.052%1.11I 90.09%NM 81.22%EV -13.15%E -11.85%K -119.53%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-30 09:50
FanDuel🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +3.34%E +0.703%K +0.891%G +0.030%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-30 09:05
GTbets🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +3.34%E +0.703%K +0.891%G +0.030%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.67%E -6.50%K -42.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-30 10:00
SportsBet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +3.34%E +0.703%K +0.891%G +0.030%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-30 09:05
Bet Right🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.10%E -0.467%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.32%E -4.40%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-30 10:20
Betsson🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.10%E -0.467%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.32%E -4.40%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-30 11:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.10%E -0.467%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-30 10:15
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.10%E -0.467%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-30 09:15
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.10%E -0.467%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.45%E -7.23%K -49.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-30 09:05
Tipico (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -2.10%E -0.467%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -9.24%E -7.96%K -57.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-30 11:20
DraftKings🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.28%E -0.972%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.54%E -3.72%K -20.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-30 09:59
Fanatics🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.28%E -0.972%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.32%E -4.40%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-30 10:25
Betr (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.28%E -0.972%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-30 10:20
theScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -4.28%E -0.972%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.67%E -6.50%K -42.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-30 10:05
Marathon Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.36%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.32%E -4.40%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-30 10:00
Unibet (UK)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -6.45%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -6.89%E -5.79%K -36.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-30 10:20
1xBet🎯4.28I 23.36%NM 22.18%EV -6.89%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.82%EV -4.54%E -3.72%K -20.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 10:04
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.54%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.54%E -3.72%K -20.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 10:20
LeoVegas🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -7.54%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -7.67%E -6.50%K -42.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-30 10:25
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.63%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.54%E -3.72%K -20.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-30 10:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.63%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.54%E -3.72%K -20.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-30 10:00
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.63%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.54%E -3.72%K -20.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-30 10:00
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.63%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-30 10:04
Caesars🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.63%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.11%E -5.09%K -30.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-30 12:17
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.80%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.54%E -3.72%K -20.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-30 10:55
TAB🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.98%E -3.24%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.54%E -3.72%K -20.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-30 10:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.98%E -3.24%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.54%E -3.72%K -20.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-30 10:50
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.98%E -3.24%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.54%E -3.72%K -20.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-30 10:55
Betclic (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.98%E -3.24%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -7.67%E -6.50%K -42.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-30 10:19
ReBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.98%E -3.24%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -8.45%E -7.23%K -49.73%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-30 10:20
Winamax (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -15.15%E -3.89%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.92%EV -8.45%E -7.23%K -49.73%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-30 10:20
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -16.24%E -4.22%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -2.19%E -1.76%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-30 10:00
Neds🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -17.33%E -4.56%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.19%E -1.76%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-30 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -17.33%E -4.56%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.19%E -1.76%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-30 10:50
Unibet (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -17.33%E -4.56%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.46%EV -8.45%E -7.23%K -49.73%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-30 10:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%5.2%2026-09-30 09:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%5.2%2026-09-30 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%5.2%2026-09-30 09:50
Matchbook◎3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%9.3%2026-09-30 09:30
Smarkets◎4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%1.16I 86.21%NM 77.52%11.2%2026-09-30 10:05
Arbitrage (45 combinaisons) +0.96%LiveScore Bet 5.25 (19.2%) / PlayUp 1.25 (80.8%)Afficher les 45 combinaisons
Maria Timofeeva (Local)Naomi Osaka (Visiteur)Marge
LiveScore Bet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
LiveScore Bet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
LiveScore Bet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
BetRivers🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
BetRivers🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
BetRivers🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Unibet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Unibet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Unibet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Unibet (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Unibet (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Unibet (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Virgin Bet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Virgin Bet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Virgin Bet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
TABtouch🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
TABtouch🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
TABtouch🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Unibet (NL)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Unibet (NL)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Unibet (NL)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Grosvenor🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Grosvenor🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Grosvenor🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Casumo🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Casumo🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Casumo🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Bally Bet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Bally Bet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Bally Bet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
betPARX🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
betPARX🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
betPARX🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
ATG (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
ATG (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
ATG (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Svenska Spel🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Svenska Spel🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Svenska Spel🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Hard Rock Bet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)PlayUp🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Hard Rock Bet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Neds🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%
Hard Rock Bet🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)+0.962%