Language:English
Jelena Ostapenko v Paula Badosa
Head to Head
Jelena Ostapenko (Local)
Prediction 39.27%2.55fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -0.734%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.66%39.21%39.28%41.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.412.402.5044.44%41.44%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Paula Badosa (Visit)
Prediction 60.73%1.65fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -1.77%
Kelly -4.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.44%60.79%60.72%62.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.541.531.6068.97%65.14%65.36%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Jelena Ostapenko (Local): 39.27%; Paula Badosa (Visit): 60.73%. For Jelena Ostapenko (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.55. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.50, with an expected value of -1.84%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.68%E -5.06%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 13:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.68%E -5.06%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 13:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 13:06 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 13:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 13:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 13:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 13:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 13:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 13:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 13:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 13:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 13:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 13:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 13:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.01%E -1.22%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-01 13:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.25%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-01 12:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 12:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.47%E -4.20%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 13:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 13:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.19%E -1.72%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.25%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 12:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -4.19%E -1.72%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-01 11:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.29%EV -5.37%E -2.23%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -5.25%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 11:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.04%E -2.56%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-01 11:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.25%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 12:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 11:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 13:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-01 10:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-01 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-01 13:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.68%E -5.06%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-01 14:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.83%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-01 14:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.04%E -2.56%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 11:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 11:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 14:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 14:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -6.47%E -4.20%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-01 11:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-01 11:22 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-01 11:22 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.86%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.14%EV -11.94%E -8.23%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-01 13:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-01 11:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.68%E -5.06%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-01 11:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.83%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-01 14:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-01 11:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-01 10:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -8.90%E -5.93%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-01 11:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.65%E -5.18%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.83%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-01 14:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -11.65%E -5.18%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.16%EV -9.51%E -6.38%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-01 11:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -11.65%E -5.18%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -10.11%E -6.83%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-01 11:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.07% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.93% | 7.7% | 2026-10-01 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.07% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.93% | 7.7% | 2026-10-01 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.07% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.93% | 7.7% | 2026-10-01 14:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 39.57% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.43% | 11.8% | 2026-10-01 14:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 39.78% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22% | 12.2% | 2026-10-01 11:15 |