Idioma:Español
Jelena Ostapenko v Paula Badosa
Resultado del partido
Jelena Ostapenko (Local)
Predicción 39.27%2.55momio equitativo
EV -1.84%
Ventaja -0.734%
Kelly -1.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.66%39.21%39.28%41.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.412.402.5044.44%41.44%41.67%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Paula Badosa (Visitante)
Predicción 60.73%1.65momio equitativo
EV -2.83%
Ventaja -1.77%
Kelly -4.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.44%60.79%60.72%62.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.451.541.531.6068.97%65.14%65.36%62.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Jelena Ostapenko (Local): 39.27%; Paula Badosa (Visitante): 60.73%. Para Jelena Ostapenko (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.55. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.50, con un valor esperado de -1.84%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.68%E -5.06%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 13:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.68%E -5.06%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 13:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 13:06 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 13:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 13:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 13:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 13:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 13:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 13:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 13:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 13:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 13:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 13:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 13:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.01%E -1.22%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-01 13:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.25%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-01 12:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 12:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.47%E -4.20%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 13:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 13:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.19%E -1.72%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.25%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 12:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -4.19%E -1.72%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-01 11:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.29%EV -5.37%E -2.23%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -5.25%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 11:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.04%E -2.56%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-01 11:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.25%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 12:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 11:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 13:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-01 10:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-01 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-01 13:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.68%E -5.06%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-01 14:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.83%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-01 14:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.04%E -2.56%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 11:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 11:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 14:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 14:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -6.47%E -4.20%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-01 11:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-01 11:22 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-01 11:22 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.86%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.14%EV -11.94%E -8.23%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-01 13:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-01 11:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.68%E -5.06%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-01 11:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.83%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-01 14:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-01 11:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-01 10:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -8.90%E -5.93%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-01 11:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.65%E -5.18%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.83%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-01 14:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -11.65%E -5.18%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.16%EV -9.51%E -6.38%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-01 11:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -11.65%E -5.18%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -10.11%E -6.83%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-01 11:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77% | 7.2% | 2026-10-01 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77% | 7.2% | 2026-10-01 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77% | 7.2% | 2026-10-01 15:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 39.78% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22% | 12.2% | 2026-10-01 11:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 39.78% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22% | 12.2% | 2026-10-01 15:00 |