Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jelena Ostapenko v Paula Badosa

2026-10-03 04:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jelena Ostapenko (Local)

Prévision 39.27%2.55cote équitable
EV -1.84%
Avantage -0.734%
Kelly -1.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.66%39.21%39.28%41.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.412.402.5044.44%41.44%41.67%40.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Paula Badosa (Visiteur)

Prévision 60.73%1.65cote équitable
EV -2.83%
Avantage -1.77%
Kelly -4.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.44%60.79%60.72%62.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.451.541.531.6068.97%65.14%65.36%62.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Jelena Ostapenko (Local) : 39.27% ; Paula Badosa (Visiteur) : 60.73%. Pour Jelena Ostapenko (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.55. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 2.50, pour une espérance de -1.84% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.68%E -5.06%K -14.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 13:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.68%E -5.06%K -14.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 13:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 13:06
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 13:05
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 13:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 13:05
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 13:05
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 13:05
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 13:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 13:05
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 13:05
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 13:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 13:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 13:05
Coolbet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.01%E -1.22%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 13:05
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.25%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 12:20
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 12:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.47%E -4.20%K -11.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 13:05
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 13:20
GTbets🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.19%E -1.72%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.25%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -4.19%E -1.72%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 11:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.29%EV -5.37%E -2.23%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -5.25%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 11:35
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.04%E -2.56%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 11:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.25%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 12:30
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 11:30
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 13:20
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 10:59
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 13:20
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.68%E -5.06%K -14.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-01 14:10
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.83%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-01 14:10
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.04%E -2.56%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 11:40
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-01 11:40
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-01 14:09
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-01 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-01 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-01 13:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -6.47%E -4.20%K -11.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 11:10
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-01 11:22
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-01 11:22
PMU (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.86%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.14%EV -11.94%E -8.23%K -26.52%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-01 13:05
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-01 11:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.68%E -5.06%K -14.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-01 11:50
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.83%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-01 14:14
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-01 11:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-01 10:59
ReBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -8.90%E -5.93%K -17.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-01 11:10
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.65%E -5.18%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.83%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-01 14:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -11.65%E -5.18%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.16%EV -9.51%E -6.38%K -19.40%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-01 11:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -11.65%E -5.18%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -10.11%E -6.83%K -21.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-01 11:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%7.2%2026-10-01 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%7.2%2026-10-01 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%7.2%2026-10-01 15:10
Smarkets◎2.24I 44.64%NM 39.78%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%12.2%2026-10-01 11:15
Matchbook◎2.24I 44.64%NM 39.78%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%12.2%2026-10-01 15:00