Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jelena Ostapenko v Paula Badosa

2026-10-03 04:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jelena Ostapenko (Local)

Previsão 39.27%2.55odd justa
EV -1.84%
Vantagem -0.734%
Kelly -1.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.66%39.21%39.28%41.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.412.402.5044.44%41.44%41.67%40.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Paula Badosa (Visitante)

Previsão 60.73%1.65odd justa
EV -2.83%
Vantagem -1.77%
Kelly -4.71%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.44%60.79%60.72%62.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.451.541.531.6068.97%65.14%65.36%62.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Jelena Ostapenko (Local): 39.27%; Paula Badosa (Visitante): 60.73%. Para Jelena Ostapenko (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.55. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.50, com valor esperado de -1.84%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.68%E -5.06%K -14.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 13:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.68%E -5.06%K -14.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 13:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 13:06
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 13:05
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 13:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 13:05
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 13:05
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 13:05
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 13:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 13:05
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 13:05
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 13:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 13:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 13:05
Coolbet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.01%E -1.22%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 13:05
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.25%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 12:20
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 12:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.47%E -4.20%K -11.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 13:05
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 13:20
GTbets🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.19%E -1.72%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.25%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 12:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -4.19%E -1.72%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 11:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.29%EV -5.37%E -2.23%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -5.25%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 11:35
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.04%E -2.56%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 11:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.25%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 12:30
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 11:30
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 13:20
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 10:59
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 13:20
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.68%E -5.06%K -14.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-01 14:10
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.83%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-01 14:10
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.04%E -2.56%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 11:40
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-01 11:40
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-01 14:09
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-01 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-01 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-01 13:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -6.47%E -4.20%K -11.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 11:10
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-01 11:22
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-01 11:22
PMU (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.86%EV -6.55%E -2.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.14%EV -11.94%E -8.23%K -26.52%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-01 13:05
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-01 11:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.68%E -5.06%K -14.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-01 11:50
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.83%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-01 14:14
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-01 11:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-01 10:59
ReBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -8.90%E -5.93%K -17.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-01 11:10
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.65%E -5.18%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.83%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-01 14:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -11.65%E -5.18%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.16%EV -9.51%E -6.38%K -19.40%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-01 11:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -11.65%E -5.18%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -10.11%E -6.83%K -21.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-01 11:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%7.2%2026-10-01 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%7.2%2026-10-01 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%7.2%2026-10-01 15:10
Smarkets◎2.24I 44.64%NM 39.78%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%12.2%2026-10-01 11:15
Matchbook◎2.24I 44.64%NM 39.78%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%12.2%2026-10-01 15:00