Language:English
Sara Bejlek v Belinda Bencic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sara Bejlek (Local)
Prediction 44.42%2.25fair odd
EV +28.80%
Edge +9.93%
Kelly +15.16%
Growth +4.37%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.03%43.82%44.39%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.262.172.9054.64%44.27%46.08%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Belinda Bencic (Visit)
Prediction 55.58%1.80fair odd
EV +6.17%
Edge +3.23%
Kelly +6.78%
Growth +0.418%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%56.18%55.61%66.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.621.651.9172.99%61.61%60.61%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sara Bejlek (Local): 44.42%; Belinda Bencic (Visit): 55.58%. For Sara Bejlek (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.25. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +28.80%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +28.80%E +9.93%K +15.16%G +4.37% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -20.51%E -14.35%K -47.71%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-02 15:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%EV +22.59%E +8.18%K +12.83%G +2.90% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.19%EV -21.63%E -15.34%K -52.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-02 15:07 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +20.81%E +7.65%K +12.10%G +2.52% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -17.18%E -11.53%K -35.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-02 15:08 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +20.81%E +7.65%K +12.10%G +2.52% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -17.18%E -11.53%K -35.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-02 15:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV +20.81%E +7.65%K +12.10%G +2.52% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -18.85%E -12.91%K -40.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 15:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +19.92%E +7.38%K +11.72%G +2.33% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -19.40%E -13.38%K -43.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-02 15:03 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV +19.92%E +7.38%K +11.72%G +2.33% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.34%EV -23.85%E -17.41%K -64.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-02 15:07 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV +19.03%E +7.10%K +11.33%G +2.16% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.21%EV -20.51%E -14.35%K -47.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-02 15:06 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV +16.37%E +6.25%K +10.10%G +1.65% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -16.62%E -11.08%K -33.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 15:06 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +15.48%E +5.95%K +9.68%G +1.50% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -17.73%E -11.98%K -36.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-02 15:07 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +15.48%E +5.95%K +9.68%G +1.50% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -19.96%E -13.86%K -45.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-02 15:03 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +15.48%E +5.95%K +9.68%G +1.50% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -19.96%E -13.86%K -45.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-02 15:03 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +6.60%E +2.75%K +4.71%G +0.311% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -12.73%E -8.11%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 15:13 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +4.38%E +1.86%K +3.24%G +0.142% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -11.06%E -6.92%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 15:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +4.38%E +1.86%K +3.24%G +0.142% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -11.06%E -6.92%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 15:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -0.065%E -0.029%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -12.73%E -8.11%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-02 15:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.29%E -1.04%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.06%E -3.59%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 15:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.29%E -1.04%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.17%E -4.30%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 15:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.29%E -1.04%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.17%E -4.30%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 15:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.29%E -1.04%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.17%E -4.30%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 15:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.29%E -1.04%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.17%E -4.30%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 15:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.29%E -1.04%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.17%E -4.30%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 15:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.29%E -1.04%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.17%E -4.30%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 15:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -2.29%E -1.04%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.95%E -6.14%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-02 15:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -3.17%E -1.46%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -8.29%E -5.02%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 15:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -3.17%E -1.46%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -8.29%E -5.02%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 15:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -3.62%E -1.67%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -8.29%E -5.02%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-02 15:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -3.62%E -1.67%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -8.29%E -5.02%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-02 15:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -3.62%E -1.67%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -8.29%E -5.02%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-02 15:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -3.62%E -1.67%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -8.29%E -5.02%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-02 15:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.51%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.17%E -4.30%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-02 15:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.51%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.29%E -5.02%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-02 15:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -4.95%E -2.31%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -9.40%E -5.77%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-02 15:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -5.40%E -2.53%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -5.51%E -3.24%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-02 15:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.84%E -2.75%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.84%E -2.22%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 15:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -5.84%E -2.75%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -9.95%E -6.14%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-02 15:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.73%E -3.20%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.51%E -3.24%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-02 15:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.73%E -3.20%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.51%E -3.24%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-02 15:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.73%E -3.20%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.51%E -3.24%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-02 15:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -6.73%E -3.20%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -7.73%E -4.66%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-02 15:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.73%E -3.20%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.29%E -5.02%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-02 15:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -6.73%E -3.20%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -9.95%E -6.14%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-02 15:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.62%E -3.66%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.51%E -3.24%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-02 15:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.01%EV -7.62%E -3.66%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.99%EV -12.73%E -8.11%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-02 15:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.84%E -2.22%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-02 15:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.51%E -3.24%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-02 15:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -9.95%E -6.14%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-02 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.17%E -5.58%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.84%E -2.22%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-02 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.17%E -5.58%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.84%E -2.22%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-02 15:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.17%E -5.58%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.51%E -3.24%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-02 15:13 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -13.39%E -6.87%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +2.83%E +1.53%K +3.33%G +0.094% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 15:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -15.17%E -7.94%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV +0.052%E +0.029%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-02 15:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -18.72%E -10.23%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +6.17%E +3.23%K +6.78%G +0.418% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 15:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-04-02 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 0.7% | 2026-04-02 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 1.2% | 2026-04-02 15:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 1.5% | 2026-04-02 15:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.0% | 2026-04-02 15:15 |
| Novig◎ | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.67% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 15:15 |