A Escola das Odds

Sara Bejlek v Belinda Bencic

Início: 2026-04-02 15:25 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Sara Bejlek (Local)

Previsão 44.42%2.25odd justa
EV +28.80%
Vantagem +9.93%
Kelly +15.16%
Crescimento +4.37%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.03%43.82%44.39%51.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.832.262.172.9054.64%44.27%46.08%34.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Belinda Bencic (Visitante)

Previsão 55.58%1.80odd justa
EV +6.17%
Vantagem +3.23%
Kelly +6.78%
Crescimento +0.418%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.93%56.18%55.61%66.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.371.621.651.9172.99%61.61%60.61%52.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +28.80%E +9.93%K +15.16%G +4.37%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -20.51%E -14.35%K -47.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 15:10
SportsBet2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%EV +22.59%E +8.18%K +12.83%G +2.90%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.19%EV -21.63%E -15.34%K -52.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 15:07
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +20.81%E +7.65%K +12.10%G +2.52%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -17.18%E -11.53%K -35.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-02 15:08
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +20.81%E +7.65%K +12.10%G +2.52%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -17.18%E -11.53%K -35.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-02 15:09
Bet Right2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV +20.81%E +7.65%K +12.10%G +2.52%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -18.85%E -12.91%K -40.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 15:04
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +19.92%E +7.38%K +11.72%G +2.33%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -19.40%E -13.38%K -43.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 15:03
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV +19.92%E +7.38%K +11.72%G +2.33%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.34%EV -23.85%E -17.41%K -64.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-02 15:07
GTbets2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV +19.03%E +7.10%K +11.33%G +2.16%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.21%EV -20.51%E -14.35%K -47.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 15:06
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV +16.37%E +6.25%K +10.10%G +1.65%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -16.62%E -11.08%K -33.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 15:06
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +15.48%E +5.95%K +9.68%G +1.50%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -17.73%E -11.98%K -36.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 15:07
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +15.48%E +5.95%K +9.68%G +1.50%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -19.96%E -13.86%K -45.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-02 15:03
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +15.48%E +5.95%K +9.68%G +1.50%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -19.96%E -13.86%K -45.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-02 15:03
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +6.60%E +2.75%K +4.71%G +0.311%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -12.73%E -8.11%K -22.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 15:13
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +4.38%E +1.86%K +3.24%G +0.142%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -11.06%E -6.92%K -18.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:15
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +4.38%E +1.86%K +3.24%G +0.142%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -11.06%E -6.92%K -18.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:15
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -0.065%E -0.029%K -0.052%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -12.73%E -8.11%K -22.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-02 15:14
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.29%E -1.04%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.06%E -3.59%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 15:15
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.29%E -1.04%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.17%E -4.30%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 15:14
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.29%E -1.04%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.17%E -4.30%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 15:15
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.29%E -1.04%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.17%E -4.30%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 15:14
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.29%E -1.04%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.17%E -4.30%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 15:15
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.29%E -1.04%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.17%E -4.30%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 15:14
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.29%E -1.04%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.17%E -4.30%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 15:14
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -2.29%E -1.04%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.95%E -6.14%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 15:15
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -3.17%E -1.46%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -8.29%E -5.02%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 15:14
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -3.17%E -1.46%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -8.29%E -5.02%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 15:14
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -3.62%E -1.67%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -8.29%E -5.02%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 15:14
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -3.62%E -1.67%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -8.29%E -5.02%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 15:14
Grosvenor2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -3.62%E -1.67%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -8.29%E -5.02%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 15:15
Bally Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -3.62%E -1.67%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -8.29%E -5.02%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 15:14
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.51%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.17%E -4.30%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 15:15
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.51%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.29%E -5.02%K -12.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 15:14
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -4.95%E -2.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -9.40%E -5.77%K -14.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-02 15:14
DraftKings2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -5.40%E -2.53%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -5.51%E -3.24%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 15:14
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.84%E -2.75%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.84%E -2.22%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -5.84%E -2.75%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -9.95%E -6.14%K -16.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 15:15
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.73%E -3.20%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.51%E -3.24%K -7.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 15:14
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.73%E -3.20%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.51%E -3.24%K -7.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 15:15
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.73%E -3.20%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.51%E -3.24%K -7.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 15:15
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -6.73%E -3.20%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -7.73%E -4.66%K -11.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-02 15:15
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.73%E -3.20%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.29%E -5.02%K -12.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 15:14
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -6.73%E -3.20%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -9.95%E -6.14%K -16.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-02 15:15
PointsBet (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.62%E -3.66%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.51%E -3.24%K -7.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 15:15
PMU (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.01%EV -7.62%E -3.66%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.99%EV -12.73%E -8.11%K -22.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-02 15:14
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.84%E -2.22%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-02 15:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.51%E -3.24%K -7.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 15:15
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -9.95%E -6.14%K -16.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-02 15:15
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.17%E -5.58%K -11.17%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.84%E -2.22%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-02 15:15
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.17%E -5.58%K -11.17%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.84%E -2.22%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-02 15:15
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.17%E -5.58%K -11.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.51%E -3.24%K -7.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-02 15:13
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -13.39%E -6.87%K -14.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +2.83%E +1.53%K +3.33%G +0.094%5.3%2026-04-02 15:15
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -15.17%E -7.94%K -16.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV +0.052%E +0.029%K +0.065%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-02 15:14
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -18.72%E -10.23%K -22.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +6.17%E +3.23%K +6.78%G +0.418%7.0%2026-04-02 15:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-04-02 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-04-02 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%1.2%2026-04-02 15:15
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%1.5%2026-04-02 15:15
ProphetX2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.0%2026-04-02 15:15
Novig2.19I 45.66%NM 42.67%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%7.0%2026-04-02 15:15