Language:English
Madison Keys v Yuliia Starodubtseva
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Madison Keys (Local)
Prediction 76.17%1.31fair odd
EV -0.973%
Edge -0.748%
Kelly -3.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.90%76.06%76.41%79.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.231.231.3086.21%81.35%81.30%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Yuliia Starodubtseva (Visit)
Prediction 23.83%4.20fair odd
EV +11.26%
Edge +2.41%
Kelly +3.07%
Growth +0.346%
assuming max odds 4.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.58%23.94%23.59%28.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.304.044.004.6730.30%24.74%25.00%21.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Madison Keys (Local): 76.17%; Yuliia Starodubtseva (Visit): 23.83%. For Yuliia Starodubtseva (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.20. 21 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.67, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.26%.
Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -7.83%E -6.47%K -37.28%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +11.26%E +2.41%K +3.07%G +0.346% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 19:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -7.83%E -6.47%K -37.28%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +11.26%E +2.41%K +3.07%G +0.346% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 20:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +9.60%E +2.09%K +2.67%G +0.256% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 19:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +9.60%E +2.09%K +2.67%G +0.256% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +7.21%E +1.60%K +2.06%G +0.149% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 19:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.83%E -6.47%K -37.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +7.21%E +1.60%K +2.06%G +0.149% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 19:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.83%E -6.47%K -37.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +7.21%E +1.60%K +2.06%G +0.149% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 19:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +7.21%E +1.60%K +2.06%G +0.149% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 19:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.88%E -9.30%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +7.21%E +1.60%K +2.06%G +0.149% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 20:01 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +4.83%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.069% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 19:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +4.83%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.069% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 19:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +4.83%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.069% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 19:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +4.83%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.069% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 19:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.84%EV -6.30%E -5.13%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.16%EV +2.92%E +0.677%K +0.881%G +0.026% | 4.4% | 2026-04-04 19:57 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -10.88%E -9.30%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV +2.45%E +0.569%K +0.742%G +0.018% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 19:57 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.296%K +0.387%G +0.005% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 20:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -9.35%E -7.86%K -49.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV +1.26%E +0.296%K +0.387%G +0.005% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 19:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -9.35%E -7.86%K -49.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV +1.26%E +0.296%K +0.387%G +0.005% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 19:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.56%EV -11.64%E -10.03%K -72.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV +1.26%E +0.296%K +0.387%G +0.005% | 9.7% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -9.35%E -7.86%K -49.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV +0.066%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -10.11%E -8.57%K -56.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV +0.066%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.81%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.19%EV -1.36%E -0.329%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.32%E -0.565%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.32%E -0.565%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.32%E -0.565%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.32%E -0.565%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.30%E -5.13%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -2.32%E -0.565%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 19:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 20:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.30%E -5.13%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -7.83%E -6.47%K -37.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.91%EV -9.35%E -7.86%K -49.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.50%E -1.95%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -13.04%E -3.57%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.73%E -1.34%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.26%E -2.57%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.26%E -2.57%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -15.42%E -4.34%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -1.73%E -1.34%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -16.61%E -4.75%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -2.50%E -1.95%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -16.61%E -4.75%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -0.973%E -0.748%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -18.99%E -5.59%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -1.73%E -1.34%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -21.38%E -6.48%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 2.2% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22% | 2.5% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49% | 3.2% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.31% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 24.69% | 9.7% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |