Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Madison Keys v Yuliia Starodubtseva

Início: 2026-04-04 20:08 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Madison Keys (Local)

Previsão 76.17%1.31odd justa
EV -0.973%
Vantagem -0.748%
Kelly -3.24%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
71.90%76.06%76.41%79.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.161.231.231.3086.21%81.35%81.30%76.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Yuliia Starodubtseva (Visitante)

Previsão 23.83%4.20odd justa
EV +11.26%
Vantagem +2.41%
Kelly +3.07%
Crescimento +0.346%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.58%23.94%23.59%28.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.304.044.004.6730.30%24.74%25.00%21.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Madison Keys (Local): 76.17%; Yuliia Starodubtseva (Visitante): 23.83%. Para Yuliia Starodubtseva (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.20. 21 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.67, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +11.26%.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -7.83%E -6.47%K -37.28%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +11.26%E +2.41%K +3.07%G +0.346%4.1%2026-04-04 19:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -7.83%E -6.47%K -37.28%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +11.26%E +2.41%K +3.07%G +0.346%4.1%2026-04-04 20:01
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +9.60%E +2.09%K +2.67%G +0.256%5.1%2026-04-04 19:55
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +9.60%E +2.09%K +2.67%G +0.256%5.1%2026-04-04 20:04
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +7.21%E +1.60%K +2.06%G +0.149%4.2%2026-04-04 19:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.83%E -6.47%K -37.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +7.21%E +1.60%K +2.06%G +0.149%4.9%2026-04-04 19:49
Bet Right🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.83%E -6.47%K -37.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +7.21%E +1.60%K +2.06%G +0.149%4.9%2026-04-04 19:55
BetUS🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +7.21%E +1.60%K +2.06%G +0.149%5.6%2026-04-04 19:54
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.88%E -9.30%K -63.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +7.21%E +1.60%K +2.06%G +0.149%7.7%2026-04-04 20:01
GTbets🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +4.83%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.069%4.7%2026-04-04 19:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +4.83%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.069%6.1%2026-04-04 19:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +4.83%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.069%6.1%2026-04-04 19:55
PlayUp🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +4.83%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.069%6.1%2026-04-04 19:59
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.84%EV -6.30%E -5.13%K -27.41%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.16%EV +2.92%E +0.677%K +0.881%G +0.026%4.4%2026-04-04 19:57
NetBet (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -10.88%E -9.30%K -63.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV +2.45%E +0.569%K +0.742%G +0.018%8.7%2026-04-04 19:57
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.296%K +0.387%G +0.005%5.5%2026-04-04 20:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -9.35%E -7.86%K -49.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV +1.26%E +0.296%K +0.387%G +0.005%7.6%2026-04-04 19:55
Neds🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -9.35%E -7.86%K -49.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV +1.26%E +0.296%K +0.387%G +0.005%7.6%2026-04-04 19:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.56%EV -11.64%E -10.03%K -72.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV +1.26%E +0.296%K +0.387%G +0.005%9.7%2026-04-04 20:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -9.35%E -7.86%K -49.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV +0.066%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 20:04
Fliff🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -10.11%E -8.57%K -56.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV +0.066%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 20:04
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.81%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.19%EV -1.36%E -0.329%K -0.434%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 20:05
Casumo🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.32%E -0.565%K -0.747%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 20:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.32%E -0.565%K -0.747%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 20:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.32%E -0.565%K -0.747%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 20:04
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.32%E -0.565%K -0.747%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 20:04
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.30%E -5.13%K -27.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -2.32%E -0.565%K -0.747%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 20:05
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 20:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 20:05
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 19:54
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 20:05
theScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 20:01
Virgin Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.30%E -5.13%K -27.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 20:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 20:05
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 20:05
LeoVegas🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -7.83%E -6.47%K -37.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 20:05
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 20:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 20:05
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 20:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 20:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 20:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 75.91%EV -9.35%E -7.86%K -49.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 20:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.50%E -1.95%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 20:04
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 20:05
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 20:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -13.04%E -3.57%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 20:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.73%E -1.34%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 20:05
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.26%E -2.57%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 20:04
TABtouch🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.26%E -2.57%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 20:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -15.42%E -4.34%K -6.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 20:04
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -1.73%E -1.34%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -16.61%E -4.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 20:04
Grosvenor🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -2.50%E -1.95%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -16.61%E -4.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 20:05
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -0.973%E -0.748%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -18.99%E -5.59%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 20:04
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -1.73%E -1.34%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -21.38%E -6.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 20:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-04-04 20:05
ProphetX1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%2.2%2026-04-04 20:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%2.5%2026-04-04 20:05
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%3.2%2026-04-04 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%5.4%2026-04-04 20:05
Novig1.21I 82.64%NM 75.31%3.69I 27.10%NM 24.69%9.7%2026-04-04 20:05