La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Madison Keys v Yuliia Starodubtseva
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Madison Keys (Local)
Predicción 76.17%1.31momio equitativo
EV -0.973%
Ventaja -0.748%
Kelly -3.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.90%76.06%76.41%79.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.161.231.231.3086.21%81.35%81.30%76.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Yuliia Starodubtseva (Visitante)
Predicción 23.83%4.20momio equitativo
EV +11.26%
Ventaja +2.41%
Kelly +3.07%
Crecimiento +0.346%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.58%23.94%23.59%28.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.304.044.004.6730.30%24.74%25.00%21.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -7.83%E -6.47%K -37.28%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +11.26%E +2.41%K +3.07%G +0.346% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 19:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -7.83%E -6.47%K -37.28%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +11.26%E +2.41%K +3.07%G +0.346% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 20:01 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +9.60%E +2.09%K +2.67%G +0.256% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 19:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +9.60%E +2.09%K +2.67%G +0.256% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| Bovada | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +7.21%E +1.60%K +2.06%G +0.149% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 19:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.83%E -6.47%K -37.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +7.21%E +1.60%K +2.06%G +0.149% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 19:49 |
| Bet Right | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.83%E -6.47%K -37.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +7.21%E +1.60%K +2.06%G +0.149% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 19:55 |
| BetUS | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +7.21%E +1.60%K +2.06%G +0.149% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 19:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.88%E -9.30%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +7.21%E +1.60%K +2.06%G +0.149% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 20:01 |
| GTbets | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +4.83%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.069% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 19:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +4.83%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.069% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 19:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +4.83%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.069% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 19:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +4.83%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.069% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 19:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.84%EV -6.30%E -5.13%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.16%EV +2.92%E +0.677%K +0.881%G +0.026% | 4.4% | 2026-04-04 19:57 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -10.88%E -9.30%K -63.97%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV +2.45%E +0.569%K +0.742%G +0.018% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 19:57 |
| Betway | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.296%K +0.387%G +0.005% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 20:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -9.35%E -7.86%K -49.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV +1.26%E +0.296%K +0.387%G +0.005% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 19:55 |
| Neds | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -9.35%E -7.86%K -49.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV +1.26%E +0.296%K +0.387%G +0.005% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 19:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.56%EV -11.64%E -10.03%K -72.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV +1.26%E +0.296%K +0.387%G +0.005% | 9.7% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -9.35%E -7.86%K -49.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV +0.066%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| Fliff | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -10.11%E -8.57%K -56.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV +0.066%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.81%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.19%EV -1.36%E -0.329%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| Casumo | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.32%E -0.565%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.32%E -0.565%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.32%E -0.565%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| betPARX | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.32%E -0.565%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| Unibet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.30%E -5.13%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -2.32%E -0.565%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| TAB | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 19:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 20:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.30%E -5.13%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -7.83%E -6.47%K -37.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.91%EV -9.35%E -7.86%K -49.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.50%E -1.95%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| Betsson | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -13.04%E -3.57%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.73%E -1.34%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.26%E -2.57%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.26%E -2.57%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -15.42%E -4.34%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -1.73%E -1.34%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -16.61%E -4.75%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| Grosvenor | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -2.50%E -1.95%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -16.61%E -4.75%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -0.973%E -0.748%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -18.99%E -5.59%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -1.73%E -1.34%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -21.38%E -6.48%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 2.2% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22% | 2.5% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49% | 3.2% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| Novig | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.31% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 24.69% | 9.7% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |