La scuola delle quote

Madison Keys v Yuliia Starodubtseva

Inizio: 2026-04-04 20:08 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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55 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Madison Keys (Casa)

Previsione 76.17%1.31quota equa
EV -0.973%
Vantaggio -0.748%
Kelly -3.24%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.90%76.06%76.41%79.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.161.231.231.3086.21%81.35%81.30%76.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Yuliia Starodubtseva (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.83%4.20quota equa
EV +11.26%
Vantaggio +2.41%
Kelly +3.07%
Crescita +0.346%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.67

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.58%23.94%23.59%28.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.304.044.004.6730.30%24.74%25.00%21.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -7.83%E -6.47%K -37.28%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +11.26%E +2.41%K +3.07%G +0.346%4.1%2026-04-04 19:54
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -7.83%E -6.47%K -37.28%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +11.26%E +2.41%K +3.07%G +0.346%4.1%2026-04-04 20:01
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +9.60%E +2.09%K +2.67%G +0.256%5.1%2026-04-04 19:55
FanDuel1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +9.60%E +2.09%K +2.67%G +0.256%5.1%2026-04-04 20:04
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +7.21%E +1.60%K +2.06%G +0.149%4.2%2026-04-04 19:59
Unibet (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.83%E -6.47%K -37.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +7.21%E +1.60%K +2.06%G +0.149%4.9%2026-04-04 19:49
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.83%E -6.47%K -37.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +7.21%E +1.60%K +2.06%G +0.149%4.9%2026-04-04 19:55
BetUS1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +7.21%E +1.60%K +2.06%G +0.149%5.6%2026-04-04 19:54
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.88%E -9.30%K -63.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +7.21%E +1.60%K +2.06%G +0.149%7.7%2026-04-04 20:01
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +4.83%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.069%4.7%2026-04-04 19:55
Unibet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +4.83%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.069%6.1%2026-04-04 19:49
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +4.83%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.069%6.1%2026-04-04 19:55
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +4.83%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.069%6.1%2026-04-04 19:59
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.84%EV -6.30%E -5.13%K -27.41%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.16%EV +2.92%E +0.677%K +0.881%G +0.026%4.4%2026-04-04 19:57
NetBet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -10.88%E -9.30%K -63.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV +2.45%E +0.569%K +0.742%G +0.018%8.7%2026-04-04 19:57
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.26%E +0.296%K +0.387%G +0.005%5.5%2026-04-04 20:01
Ladbrokes (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -9.35%E -7.86%K -49.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV +1.26%E +0.296%K +0.387%G +0.005%7.6%2026-04-04 19:55
Neds1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -9.35%E -7.86%K -49.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV +1.26%E +0.296%K +0.387%G +0.005%7.6%2026-04-04 19:55
Betclic (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.56%EV -11.64%E -10.03%K -72.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV +1.26%E +0.296%K +0.387%G +0.005%9.7%2026-04-04 20:04
Winamax (DE)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -9.35%E -7.86%K -49.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV +0.066%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 20:04
Fliff1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -10.11%E -8.57%K -56.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV +0.066%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 20:04
DraftKings1.25I 80.00%NM 76.81%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.19%EV -1.36%E -0.329%K -0.434%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 20:05
Casumo1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.32%E -0.565%K -0.747%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 20:04
Unibet (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.32%E -0.565%K -0.747%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 20:04
ATG (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.32%E -0.565%K -0.747%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 20:04
betPARX1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.32%E -0.565%K -0.747%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 20:04
Unibet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.30%E -5.13%K -27.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -2.32%E -0.565%K -0.747%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 20:05
Coolbet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 20:04
Hard Rock Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 20:05
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 19:54
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 20:05
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 20:01
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.30%E -5.13%K -27.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 20:04
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 20:05
Bally Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 20:05
LeoVegas1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -7.83%E -6.47%K -37.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 20:05
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 20:04
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 20:05
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 20:04
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 20:04
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 20:05
PMU (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 75.91%EV -9.35%E -7.86%K -49.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 20:04
Svenska Spel1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.50%E -1.95%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 20:04
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 20:05
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 20:05
Winamax (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -13.04%E -3.57%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 20:05
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.73%E -1.34%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 20:05
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.26%E -2.57%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 20:04
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.26%E -2.57%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 20:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -15.42%E -4.34%K -6.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 20:04
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -1.73%E -1.34%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -16.61%E -4.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 20:04
Grosvenor1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -2.50%E -1.95%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -16.61%E -4.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 20:05
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -0.973%E -0.748%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -18.99%E -5.59%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 20:04
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -1.73%E -1.34%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -21.38%E -6.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 20:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-04-04 20:05
ProphetX1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%2.2%2026-04-04 20:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%2.5%2026-04-04 20:05
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%3.2%2026-04-04 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%5.4%2026-04-04 20:05
Novig1.21I 82.64%NM 75.31%3.69I 27.10%NM 24.69%9.7%2026-04-04 20:05