Language:English
Solana Sierra v Sloane Stephens
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Solana Sierra (Local)
Prediction 52.56%1.90fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -3.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%52.73%52.62%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.791.801.8559.52%55.83%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sloane Stephens (Visit)
Prediction 47.44%2.11fair odd
EV +0.566%
Edge +0.267%
Kelly +0.505%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.44%47.27%47.38%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.991.982.1252.36%50.13%50.51%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Solana Sierra (Local): 52.56%; Sloane Stephens (Visit): 47.44%. For Sloane Stephens (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.566%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -9.59%E -5.58%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV +0.566%E +0.267%K +0.505%G +0.003% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 00:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.96%E -3.93%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.383%E -0.182%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 00:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.96%E -3.93%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.383%E -0.182%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 00:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.07%E -5.24%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.383%E -0.182%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.07%E -5.24%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.383%E -0.182%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -11.69%E -6.96%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -0.383%E -0.182%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -9.59%E -5.58%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -1.33%E -0.640%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 00:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -3.28%E -1.78%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -2.75%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.75%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 19:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.44%E -3.62%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.75%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-03 23:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.96%E -3.93%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.75%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 20:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -9.59%E -5.58%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -2.75%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 00:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.86%E -2.69%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.65%E -2.31%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-03 23:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.86%E -2.69%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.65%E -2.31%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-03 23:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -6.44%E -3.62%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -4.65%E -2.31%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 00:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.76%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 00:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.81%E -2.08%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 00:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.81%E -2.08%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-03 08:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.81%E -2.08%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.86%E -2.69%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 23:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 11:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 23:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.07%E -5.24%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.07%E -5.24%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.07%E -5.24%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.07%E -5.24%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -9.59%E -5.58%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-03 23:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 18:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 08:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 08:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 00:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 00:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 08:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 08:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 08:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 08:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 08:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 08:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 08:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 08:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 08:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 08:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 08:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 08:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -4.86%E -2.69%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -7.02%E -3.58%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 00:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -4.86%E -2.69%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -7.02%E -3.58%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 00:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.02%E -3.58%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-03 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.02%E -3.58%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-03 18:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 00:33 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 08:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 17:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 20:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 18:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 18:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.44%E -3.62%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 18:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 00:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 00:23 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -5.91%E -3.30%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -8.45%E -4.38%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-03 08:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.81%E -2.08%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 00:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -8.54%E -4.91%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-04 00:41 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 00:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.3% | 2026-08-04 00:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 00:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 00:50 |
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