Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Solana Sierra v Sloane Stephens

Inicio: 2026-08-04 00:55 UTC

Final: Solana Sierra 0–2 Sloane Stephens

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Solana Sierra (Local)

Predicción 52.56%1.90momio equitativo
EV -2.76%
Ventaja -1.49%
Kelly -3.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.07%52.73%52.62%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.681.791.801.8559.52%55.83%55.56%54.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sloane Stephens (Visitante)

Predicción 47.44%2.11momio equitativo
EV +0.566%
Ventaja +0.267%
Kelly +0.505%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.44%47.27%47.38%48.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.911.991.982.1252.36%50.13%50.51%47.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Solana Sierra (Local): 52.56%; Sloane Stephens (Visitante): 47.44%. Para Sloane Stephens (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.11. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.12, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.566%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -9.59%E -5.58%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV +0.566%E +0.267%K +0.505%G +0.003%5.3%2026-08-04 00:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.96%E -3.93%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.383%E -0.182%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 00:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.96%E -3.93%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.383%E -0.182%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 00:50
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.07%E -5.24%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.383%E -0.182%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 00:44
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.07%E -5.24%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.383%E -0.182%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 00:44
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -11.69%E -6.96%K -17.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -0.383%E -0.182%K -0.348%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 00:44
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -9.59%E -5.58%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -1.33%E -0.640%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 00:49
Coolbet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -3.28%E -1.78%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -2.75%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-03 23:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.75%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 19:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.44%E -3.62%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.75%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 23:50
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.96%E -3.93%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.75%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 20:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -9.59%E -5.58%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -2.75%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 00:25
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 00:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.86%E -2.69%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.65%E -2.31%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 23:49
ReBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.86%E -2.69%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.65%E -2.31%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 23:50
DraftKings🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -6.44%E -3.62%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -4.65%E -2.31%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 00:50
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.76%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 00:50
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.81%E -2.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 00:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.81%E -2.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 08:29
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.81%E -2.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 00:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.86%E -2.69%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 23:50
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 11:35
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 23:55
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 23:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 21:55
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.07%E -5.24%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 00:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.07%E -5.24%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 00:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.07%E -5.24%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 00:44
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.07%E -5.24%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 00:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -9.59%E -5.58%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-03 23:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 18:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 08:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 08:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 00:19
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 00:05
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 18:50
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 08:29
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 08:35
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 08:29
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 08:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 08:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 08:30
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 08:34
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 08:29
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 08:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 08:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 08:35
NordicBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -4.86%E -2.69%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -7.02%E -3.58%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 00:50
Betsson🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -4.86%E -2.69%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -7.02%E -3.58%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 00:50
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.02%E -3.58%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.02%E -3.58%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 18:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 00:33
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 08:44
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 17:10
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 18:50
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 18:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.44%E -3.62%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 18:45
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 00:23
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 00:23
PMU (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -5.91%E -3.30%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -8.45%E -4.38%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 08:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.81%E -2.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 00:54
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -8.54%E -4.91%K -11.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-04 00:41
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-04 00:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-04 00:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-04 00:45
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-08-04 00:50
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-08-04 00:50
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%2.6%2026-08-04 00:40
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%4.9%2026-08-04 00:50