Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Solana Sierra v Sloane Stephens

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-04 00:55 UTC

Score final : Solana Sierra 0–2 Sloane Stephens

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Solana Sierra (Local)

Prévision 52.56%1.90cote équitable
EV -2.76%
Avantage -1.49%
Kelly -3.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.07%52.73%52.62%55.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.681.791.801.8559.52%55.83%55.56%54.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sloane Stephens (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.44%2.11cote équitable
EV +0.566%
Avantage +0.267%
Kelly +0.505%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.44%47.27%47.38%48.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.911.991.982.1252.36%50.13%50.51%47.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Solana Sierra (Local) : 52.56% ; Sloane Stephens (Visiteur) : 47.44%. Pour Sloane Stephens (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.11. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.12, soit une espérance positive de +0.566%.

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -9.59%E -5.58%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV +0.566%E +0.267%K +0.505%G +0.003%5.3%2026-08-04 00:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.96%E -3.93%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.383%E -0.182%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 00:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.96%E -3.93%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.383%E -0.182%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 00:50
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.07%E -5.24%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.383%E -0.182%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 00:44
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.07%E -5.24%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.383%E -0.182%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 00:44
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -11.69%E -6.96%K -17.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -0.383%E -0.182%K -0.348%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 00:44
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -9.59%E -5.58%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -1.33%E -0.640%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 00:49
Coolbet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -3.28%E -1.78%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -2.75%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-03 23:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.75%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 19:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.44%E -3.62%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.75%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 23:50
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.96%E -3.93%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.75%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 20:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -9.59%E -5.58%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -2.75%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 00:25
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 00:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.86%E -2.69%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.65%E -2.31%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 23:49
ReBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.86%E -2.69%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.65%E -2.31%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 23:50
DraftKings🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -6.44%E -3.62%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -4.65%E -2.31%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 00:50
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.76%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 00:50
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.81%E -2.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 00:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.81%E -2.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 08:29
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.81%E -2.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 00:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.86%E -2.69%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 23:50
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 11:35
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 23:55
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 23:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 21:55
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.07%E -5.24%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 00:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.07%E -5.24%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 00:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.07%E -5.24%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 00:44
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.07%E -5.24%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 00:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -9.59%E -5.58%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-03 23:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 18:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 08:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 08:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 00:19
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 00:05
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 18:50
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 08:29
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 08:35
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 08:29
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 08:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 08:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 08:30
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 08:34
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 08:29
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 08:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 08:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 08:35
NordicBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -4.86%E -2.69%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -7.02%E -3.58%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 00:50
Betsson🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -4.86%E -2.69%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -7.02%E -3.58%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 00:50
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.02%E -3.58%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.02%E -3.58%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 18:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 00:33
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 08:44
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 17:10
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 18:50
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 18:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.44%E -3.62%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 18:45
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 00:23
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 00:23
PMU (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -5.91%E -3.30%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -8.45%E -4.38%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 08:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.81%E -2.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 00:54
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -8.54%E -4.91%K -11.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-04 00:41
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-04 00:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-04 00:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-04 00:45
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-08-04 00:50
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-08-04 00:50
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%2.6%2026-08-04 00:40
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%4.9%2026-08-04 00:50