Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Solana Sierra v Sloane Stephens

Início: 2026-08-04 00:55 UTC

Final: Solana Sierra 0–2 Sloane Stephens

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Solana Sierra (Local)

Previsão 52.56%1.90odd justa
EV -2.76%
Vantagem -1.49%
Kelly -3.24%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.07%52.73%52.62%55.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.681.791.801.8559.52%55.83%55.56%54.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sloane Stephens (Visitante)

Previsão 47.44%2.11odd justa
EV +0.566%
Vantagem +0.267%
Kelly +0.505%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.44%47.27%47.38%48.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.911.991.982.1252.36%50.13%50.51%47.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Solana Sierra (Local): 52.56%; Sloane Stephens (Visitante): 47.44%. Para Sloane Stephens (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.11. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.12, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.566%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -9.59%E -5.58%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV +0.566%E +0.267%K +0.505%G +0.003%5.3%2026-08-04 00:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.96%E -3.93%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.383%E -0.182%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 00:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.96%E -3.93%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.383%E -0.182%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 00:50
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.07%E -5.24%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.383%E -0.182%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 00:44
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.07%E -5.24%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.383%E -0.182%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 00:44
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -11.69%E -6.96%K -17.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -0.383%E -0.182%K -0.348%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 00:44
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -9.59%E -5.58%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -1.33%E -0.640%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 00:49
Coolbet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -3.28%E -1.78%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -2.75%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-03 23:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.75%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 19:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.44%E -3.62%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.75%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 23:50
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.96%E -3.93%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.75%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 20:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -9.59%E -5.58%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -2.75%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 00:25
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 00:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.86%E -2.69%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.65%E -2.31%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 23:49
ReBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.86%E -2.69%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.65%E -2.31%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 23:50
DraftKings🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -6.44%E -3.62%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -4.65%E -2.31%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 00:50
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.76%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 00:50
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.81%E -2.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 00:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.81%E -2.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 08:29
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.81%E -2.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 00:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.86%E -2.69%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 23:50
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 11:35
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 23:55
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 23:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 21:55
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.07%E -5.24%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 00:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.07%E -5.24%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 00:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.07%E -5.24%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 00:44
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.07%E -5.24%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 00:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -9.59%E -5.58%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -5.13%E -2.56%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-03 23:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 18:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 08:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 08:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 00:19
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 00:05
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 18:50
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 08:29
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 08:35
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 08:29
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 08:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 08:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 08:30
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 08:34
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 08:29
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 08:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 08:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.32%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 08:35
NordicBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -4.86%E -2.69%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -7.02%E -3.58%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 00:50
Betsson🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -4.86%E -2.69%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -7.02%E -3.58%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 00:50
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.02%E -3.58%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.02%E -3.58%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 18:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.34%E -2.38%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 00:33
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 08:44
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 17:10
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 18:50
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.39%E -2.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 18:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.44%E -3.62%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 18:45
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 00:23
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 00:23
PMU (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -5.91%E -3.30%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -8.45%E -4.38%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 08:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.81%E -2.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 00:54
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -8.54%E -4.91%K -11.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-04 00:41
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-04 00:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-04 00:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-04 00:45
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-08-04 00:50
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-08-04 00:50
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%2.6%2026-08-04 00:40
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%4.9%2026-08-04 00:50