Language:English
Panna Udvardy v Naomi Osaka
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Panna Udvardy (Local)
Prediction 10.65%9.39fair odd
EV +8.65%
Edge +0.848%
Kelly +0.941%
Growth +0.081%
assuming max odds 10.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.26%10.74%10.54%13.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.748.7010.2014.29%11.45%11.49%9.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Naomi Osaka (Visit)
Prediction 89.35%1.12fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -2.40%
Kelly -29.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.53%89.26%89.46%90.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.061.061.0999.01%94.45%94.34%91.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panna Udvardy (Local): 10.65%; Naomi Osaka (Visit): 89.35%. For Panna Udvardy (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.39. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.65%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 10.20I 9.80%NM 9.49%EV +8.65%E +0.848%K +0.941%G +0.081% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.51%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +6.52%E +0.652%K +0.725%G +0.047% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-05 21:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +6.52%E +0.652%K +0.725%G +0.047% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-05 08:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +6.52%E +0.652%K +0.725%G +0.047% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 09:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +6.52%E +0.652%K +0.725%G +0.047% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 09:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +6.52%E +0.652%K +0.725%G +0.047% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +6.52%E +0.652%K +0.725%G +0.047% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -8.87%E -8.69%K -443.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 9.88I 10.12%NM 9.77%EV +5.24%E +0.531%K +0.591%G +0.031% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.23%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.76%EV +4.39%E +0.448%K +0.499%G +0.022% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.24%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 20:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +1.20%E +0.126%K +0.141%G +0.002% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +1.20%E +0.126%K +0.141%G +0.002% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 9.45I 10.58%NM 10.09%EV +0.664%E +0.070%K +0.079%G +0.001% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.91%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 10:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.23%EV -0.934%E -0.100%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.77%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 21:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -1.47%E -0.159%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 19:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 9.11I 10.98%NM 10.69%EV -2.96%E -0.325%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.31%EV -2.61%E -2.40%K -29.01%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -4.13%E -0.459%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 11:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -4.13%E -0.459%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 09:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -4.13%E -0.459%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 17:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -4.13%E -0.459%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 19:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -4.13%E -0.459%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -4.13%E -0.459%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -4.13%E -0.459%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 10:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -4.13%E -0.459%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 21:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -4.13%E -0.459%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -4.13%E -0.459%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -4.13%E -0.459%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -7.08%E -6.81%K -176.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 19:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV -4.34%E -0.484%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 21:03 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.88I 11.26%NM 10.84%EV -5.41%E -0.609%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.16%EV -3.50%E -3.24%K -43.81%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 09:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.88I 11.26%NM 10.84%EV -5.41%E -0.609%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.16%EV -3.50%E -3.24%K -43.81%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 09:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -6.79%E -0.776%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.71%EV -6.79%E -0.776%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.29%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 10:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.71%EV -6.79%E -0.776%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.29%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 10:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 8.65I 11.56%NM 10.64%EV -7.86%E -0.908%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.36%EV -7.97%E -7.74%K -265.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.50%E -3.24%K -43.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 12:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 16:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 21:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 09:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -7.08%E -6.81%K -176.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -7.08%E -6.81%K -176.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -7.08%E -6.81%K -176.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -10.52%E -1.25%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 20:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -12.12%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 10:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -14.78%E -1.85%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -7.08%E -6.81%K -176.96%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -14.78%E -1.85%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.59%EV -7.97%E -7.74%K -265.73%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.94I 12.59%NM 11.88%EV -15.42%E -1.94%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.12%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.94I 12.59%NM 11.88%EV -15.42%E -1.94%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.12%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -20.11%E -2.68%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.61%E -2.40%K -29.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -20.11%E -2.68%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 20:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -20.11%E -2.68%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 17:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -20.11%E -2.68%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 88.13%EV -9.76%E -9.66%K -975.87%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -25.43%E -3.63%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -2.61%E -2.40%K -29.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 20:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -25.43%E -3.63%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 21:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -25.43%E -3.63%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-05 09:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.41% | 1.3% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 10.70I 9.35%NM 9.17% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.83% | 1.9% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88% | 2.7% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |