Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Panna Udvardy v Naomi Osaka

2026-08-05 21:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Panna Udvardy (Local)

Predicción 11.84%8.44momio equitativo
EV +12.49%
Ventaja +1.32%
Kelly +1.47%
Crecimiento +0.184%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.21%11.92%11.89%15.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.907.818.009.5016.95%12.80%12.50%10.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Naomi Osaka (Visitante)

Predicción 88.16%1.13momio equitativo
EV -2.14%
Ventaja -1.93%
Kelly -19.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
84.89%88.08%88.11%89.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.041.071.071.1196.15%93.13%93.46%90.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Panna Udvardy (Local): 11.84%; Naomi Osaka (Visitante): 88.16%. Para Panna Udvardy (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 8.44. 8 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 9.50, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +12.49%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Coolbet9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV +12.49%E +1.32%K +1.47%G +0.184%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.79%EV -4.79%E -4.43%K -59.86%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 14:04
FanDuel9.30I 10.75%NM 10.32%EV +10.13%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.124%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.68%EV -5.67%E -5.30%K -81.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 15:20
Paddy Power9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +6.57%E +0.730%K +0.822%G +0.054%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.55%E -6.18%K -109.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 15:20
Sky Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +6.57%E +0.730%K +0.822%G +0.054%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.55%E -6.18%K -109.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 15:15
1xBet8.55I 11.70%NM 11.21%EV +1.24%E +0.146%K +0.165%G +0.002%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.79%EV -4.79%E -4.43%K -59.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 15:20
BoyleSports8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +0.652%E +0.077%K +0.087%G +0.001%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.79%E -4.43%K -59.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 12:49
Fanatics8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +0.652%E +0.077%K +0.087%G +0.001%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.67%E -5.30%K -81.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 19:55
BetAnything8.45I 11.83%NM 11.24%EV +0.060%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.76%EV -5.67%E -5.30%K -81.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 00:15
PointsBet (AU)8.30I 12.05%NM 11.42%EV -1.72%E -0.207%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.58%EV -5.67%E -5.30%K -81.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 09:25
Tipico (DE)8.20I 12.20%NM 11.26%EV -2.90%E -0.354%K -0.403%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.74%EV -8.32%E -8.00%K -207.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 07:25
Marathon Bet8.10I 12.35%NM 11.67%EV -4.08%E -0.504%K -0.575%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.33%EV -5.67%E -5.30%K -81.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 15:19
DraftKings8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.27%E -0.659%K -0.753%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.79%E -4.43%K -59.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 11:10
Unibet (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.27%E -0.659%K -0.753%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.79%E -4.43%K -59.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:09
Grosvenor8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.27%E -0.659%K -0.753%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.79%E -4.43%K -59.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:09
LiveScore Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.27%E -0.659%K -0.753%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.79%E -4.43%K -59.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:09
Virgin Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.27%E -0.659%K -0.753%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.79%E -4.43%K -59.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:09
LeoVegas (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.27%E -0.659%K -0.753%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.79%E -4.43%K -59.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:10
BetRivers8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.27%E -0.659%K -0.753%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.79%E -4.43%K -59.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:10
Unibet (NL)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.27%E -0.659%K -0.753%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.79%E -4.43%K -59.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:10
Unibet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.27%E -0.659%K -0.753%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.79%E -4.43%K -59.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:10
Casumo8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.27%E -0.659%K -0.753%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.79%E -4.43%K -59.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:10
TABtouch8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.27%E -0.659%K -0.753%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.79%E -4.43%K -59.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:09
Bally Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.27%E -0.659%K -0.753%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.79%E -4.43%K -59.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:08
Svenska Spel8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.27%E -0.659%K -0.753%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.79%E -4.43%K -59.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:09
betPARX8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.27%E -0.659%K -0.753%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.79%E -4.43%K -59.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:10
ATG (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.27%E -0.659%K -0.753%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.79%E -4.43%K -59.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:09
Hard Rock Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.27%E -0.659%K -0.753%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.79%E -4.43%K -59.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:40
Bovada8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.27%E -0.659%K -0.753%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.79%E -4.43%K -59.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 15:00
Betr (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -5.27%E -0.659%K -0.753%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.67%E -5.30%K -81.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 14:50
Winamax (DE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -5.27%E -0.659%K -0.753%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.67%E -5.30%K -81.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 07:14
Betway8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -5.27%E -0.659%K -0.753%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.67%E -5.30%K -81.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 09:09
William Hill8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -5.27%E -0.659%K -0.753%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.67%E -5.30%K -81.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 21:00
betfred_uk8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -5.27%E -0.659%K -0.753%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.55%E -6.18%K -109.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 07:14
888sport8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -5.27%E -0.659%K -0.753%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.55%E -6.18%K -109.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 14:45
888sport (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -5.27%E -0.659%K -0.753%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.55%E -6.18%K -109.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 22:20
Mr Green (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -5.27%E -0.659%K -0.753%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.55%E -6.18%K -109.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 22:20
GTbets7.92I 12.63%NM 12.10%EV -6.22%E -0.785%K -0.898%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.90%EV -3.91%E -3.58%K -43.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 11:10
NordicBet7.90I 12.66%NM 11.93%EV -6.45%E -0.817%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.07%EV -5.67%E -5.30%K -81.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 21:00
Betsson7.90I 12.66%NM 11.93%EV -6.45%E -0.817%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.07%EV -5.67%E -5.30%K -81.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 21:00
Betclic (FR)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.06%EV -7.64%E -0.979%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.94%EV -5.67%E -5.30%K -81.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 18:44
theScore Bet7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -8.23%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.67%E -5.30%K -81.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 06:05
SportsBet7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -8.23%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -6.55%E -6.18%K -109.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 19:05
Coral7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.19%E -1.49%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.79%E -4.43%K -59.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 15:15
BetMGM7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.19%E -1.49%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.79%E -4.43%K -59.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 15:14
Ladbrokes (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.19%E -1.49%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.79%E -4.43%K -59.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 15:15
Unibet (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -11.19%E -1.49%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.67%E -5.30%K -81.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 11:05
Caesars7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -11.19%E -1.49%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.67%E -5.30%K -81.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 13:49
PMU (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -11.19%E -1.49%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -7.43%E -7.08%K -148.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-04 07:10
LeoVegas7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -17.11%E -2.44%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.67%E -5.30%K -81.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 21:05
Bet Victor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -17.11%E -2.44%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.67%E -5.30%K -81.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 15:18
betano_uk7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -17.11%E -2.44%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.67%E -5.30%K -81.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 15:19
ReBet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -17.11%E -2.44%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.67%E -5.30%K -81.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 21:05
Ladbrokes (AU)6.80I 14.71%NM 13.81%EV -19.48%E -2.86%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.19%EV -3.91%E -3.58%K -43.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 15:15
Neds6.80I 14.71%NM 13.81%EV -19.48%E -2.86%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.19%EV -3.91%E -3.58%K -43.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 15:15
Dabble (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -23.03%E -3.54%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -2.14%E -1.93%K -19.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 15:14
TAB6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -23.03%E -3.54%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -3.91%E -3.58%K -43.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 21:55
PlayUp6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -25.99%E -4.16%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -2.14%E -1.93%K -19.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 18:20
Winamax (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -28.95%E -4.83%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 85.11%EV -7.43%E -7.08%K -148.67%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-04 20:59
Unibet (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 15.11%EV -30.14%E -5.11%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 84.89%EV -7.43%E -7.08%K -148.67%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-04 11:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook8.80I 11.36%NM 10.93%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.07%4.0%2026-08-04 22:35
Novig7.69I 13.00%NM 12.11%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.89%7.3%2026-08-04 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.20I 16.13%NM 14.72%1.07I 93.46%NM 85.28%9.6%2026-08-05 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 14.72%1.07I 93.46%NM 85.28%9.6%2026-08-05 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 14.72%1.07I 93.46%NM 85.28%9.6%2026-08-05 00:00
Smarkets6.20I 16.13%NM 14.60%1.06I 94.34%NM 85.40%10.5%2026-08-04 22:00