Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Panna Udvardy v Naomi Osaka

Início: 2026-08-05 21:07 UTC

Final: Panna Udvardy 0–2 Naomi Osaka

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Panna Udvardy (Local)

Previsão 10.65%9.39odd justa
EV +8.65%
Vantagem +0.848%
Kelly +0.941%
Crescimento +0.081%

pressupondo odds máximas de 10.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.26%10.74%10.54%13.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
7.008.748.7010.2014.29%11.45%11.49%9.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Naomi Osaka (Visitante)

Previsão 89.35%1.12odd justa
EV -2.61%
Vantagem -2.40%
Kelly -29.01%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.09

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
86.53%89.26%89.46%90.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.011.061.061.0999.01%94.45%94.34%91.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Panna Udvardy (Local): 10.65%; Naomi Osaka (Visitante): 89.35%. Para Panna Udvardy (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 9.39. 12 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 10.20, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +8.65%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯10.20I 9.80%NM 9.49%EV +8.65%E +0.848%K +0.941%G +0.081%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.51%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-05 21:05
DraftKings🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +6.52%E +0.652%K +0.725%G +0.047%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-05 21:04
Winamax (DE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +6.52%E +0.652%K +0.725%G +0.047%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-05 08:19
Paddy Power🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +6.52%E +0.652%K +0.725%G +0.047%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 09:55
Sky Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +6.52%E +0.652%K +0.725%G +0.047%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 09:55
Coolbet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +6.52%E +0.652%K +0.725%G +0.047%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 21:05
Tipico (DE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +6.52%E +0.652%K +0.725%G +0.047%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -8.87%E -8.69%K -443.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 21:05
Pinnacle🎯9.88I 10.12%NM 9.77%EV +5.24%E +0.531%K +0.591%G +0.031%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.23%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-05 19:30
Fanatics🎯9.80I 10.20%NM 9.76%EV +4.39%E +0.448%K +0.499%G +0.022%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.24%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 20:35
Coral🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +1.20%E +0.126%K +0.141%G +0.002%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +1.20%E +0.126%K +0.141%G +0.002%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 21:05
BetAnything🎯9.45I 10.58%NM 10.09%EV +0.664%E +0.070%K +0.079%G +0.001%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.91%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 10:20
Marathon Bet🎯9.30I 10.75%NM 10.23%EV -0.934%E -0.100%K -0.113%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.77%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 21:04
Betr (AU)🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -1.47%E -0.159%K -0.178%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 19:25
GTbets🎯9.11I 10.98%NM 10.69%EV -2.96%E -0.325%K -0.365%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.31%EV -2.61%E -2.40%K -29.01%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-05 15:15
Unibet (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -4.13%E -0.459%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 11:10
Winamax (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -4.13%E -0.459%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 09:25
William Hill🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -4.13%E -0.459%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -4.13%E -0.459%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 19:05
LeoVegas🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -4.13%E -0.459%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 21:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -4.13%E -0.459%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 21:05
betfred_uk🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -4.13%E -0.459%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 10:09
888sport🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -4.13%E -0.459%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 21:04
888sport (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -4.13%E -0.459%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 21:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -4.13%E -0.459%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 21:05
NetBet (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -4.13%E -0.459%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -7.08%E -6.81%K -176.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 19:25
1xBet🎯8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV -4.34%E -0.484%K -0.544%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 21:03
BetOnline.ag🎯8.88I 11.26%NM 10.84%EV -5.41%E -0.609%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.16%EV -3.50%E -3.24%K -43.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 09:45
LowVig.ag🎯8.88I 11.26%NM 10.84%EV -5.41%E -0.609%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.16%EV -3.50%E -3.24%K -43.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 09:45
Bovada🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -6.79%E -0.776%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 21:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.71%EV -6.79%E -0.776%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.29%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 10:10
Neds🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.71%EV -6.79%E -0.776%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.29%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 10:10
Fliff🎯8.65I 11.56%NM 10.64%EV -7.86%E -0.908%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.36%EV -7.97%E -7.74%K -265.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-05 21:05
BoyleSports🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.50%E -3.24%K -43.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 12:49
Unibet (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 16:05
Unibet (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 21:05
BetRivers🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 21:04
Unibet (NL)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 21:05
Unibet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 21:05
Casumo🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 21:05
Svenska Spel🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 21:05
betPARX🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 21:05
ATG (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 21:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 21:05
SportsBet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 09:55
Grosvenor🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 21:05
TABtouch🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 21:05
BetMGM🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 21:05
LiveScore Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -7.08%E -6.81%K -176.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 21:05
Virgin Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -7.08%E -6.81%K -176.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 21:05
Bally Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -7.08%E -6.81%K -176.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 21:05
ReBet🎯8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -10.52%E -1.25%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 20:05
theScore Bet🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -12.12%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 10:25
Betclic (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -14.78%E -1.85%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -7.08%E -6.81%K -176.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-05 21:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -14.78%E -1.85%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 88.59%EV -7.97%E -7.74%K -265.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-05 21:05
NordicBet🎯7.94I 12.59%NM 11.88%EV -15.42%E -1.94%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.12%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 21:05
Betsson🎯7.94I 12.59%NM 11.88%EV -15.42%E -1.94%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.12%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 21:05
Dabble (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -20.11%E -2.68%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.61%E -2.40%K -29.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 21:05
Caesars🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -20.11%E -2.68%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 20:25
TAB🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -20.11%E -2.68%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 17:39
PMU (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -20.11%E -2.68%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 88.13%EV -9.76%E -9.66%K -975.87%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-05 21:05
PlayUp🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -25.43%E -3.63%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -2.61%E -2.40%K -29.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 20:30
Bet Victor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -25.43%E -3.63%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 21:03
betano_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -25.43%E -3.63%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-05 09:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%0.7%2026-08-05 21:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-08-05 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-08-05 21:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-08-05 21:05
Matchbook◎11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.41%1.3%2026-08-05 21:05
ProphetX◎10.70I 9.35%NM 9.17%1.08I 92.59%NM 90.83%1.9%2026-08-05 21:05
Smarkets◎12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88%2.7%2026-08-05 21:05