Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Panna Udvardy v Naomi Osaka

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-05 21:07 UTC

Score final : Panna Udvardy 0–2 Naomi Osaka

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Panna Udvardy (Local)

Prévision 10.65%9.39cote équitable
EV +8.65%
Avantage +0.848%
Kelly +0.941%
Croissance +0.081%

avec la cote maximale 10.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.26%10.74%10.54%13.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.008.748.7010.2014.29%11.45%11.49%9.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Naomi Osaka (Visiteur)

Prévision 89.35%1.12cote équitable
EV -2.61%
Avantage -2.40%
Kelly -29.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
86.53%89.26%89.46%90.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.011.061.061.0999.01%94.45%94.34%91.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Panna Udvardy (Local) : 10.65% ; Naomi Osaka (Visiteur) : 89.35%. Pour Panna Udvardy (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 9.39. 12 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 10.20, soit une espérance positive de +8.65%.

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯10.20I 9.80%NM 9.49%EV +8.65%E +0.848%K +0.941%G +0.081%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.51%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-05 21:05
DraftKings🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +6.52%E +0.652%K +0.725%G +0.047%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-05 21:04
Winamax (DE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +6.52%E +0.652%K +0.725%G +0.047%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-05 08:19
Paddy Power🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +6.52%E +0.652%K +0.725%G +0.047%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 09:55
Sky Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +6.52%E +0.652%K +0.725%G +0.047%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 09:55
Coolbet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +6.52%E +0.652%K +0.725%G +0.047%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 21:05
Tipico (DE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +6.52%E +0.652%K +0.725%G +0.047%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -8.87%E -8.69%K -443.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 21:05
Pinnacle🎯9.88I 10.12%NM 9.77%EV +5.24%E +0.531%K +0.591%G +0.031%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.23%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-05 19:30
Fanatics🎯9.80I 10.20%NM 9.76%EV +4.39%E +0.448%K +0.499%G +0.022%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.24%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 20:35
Coral🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +1.20%E +0.126%K +0.141%G +0.002%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +1.20%E +0.126%K +0.141%G +0.002%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 21:05
BetAnything🎯9.45I 10.58%NM 10.09%EV +0.664%E +0.070%K +0.079%G +0.001%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.91%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 10:20
Marathon Bet🎯9.30I 10.75%NM 10.23%EV -0.934%E -0.100%K -0.113%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.77%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 21:04
Betr (AU)🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -1.47%E -0.159%K -0.178%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 19:25
GTbets🎯9.11I 10.98%NM 10.69%EV -2.96%E -0.325%K -0.365%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.31%EV -2.61%E -2.40%K -29.01%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-05 15:15
Unibet (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -4.13%E -0.459%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 11:10
Winamax (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -4.13%E -0.459%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 09:25
William Hill🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -4.13%E -0.459%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -4.13%E -0.459%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 19:05
LeoVegas🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -4.13%E -0.459%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 21:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -4.13%E -0.459%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 21:05
betfred_uk🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -4.13%E -0.459%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 10:09
888sport🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -4.13%E -0.459%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 21:04
888sport (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -4.13%E -0.459%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 21:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -4.13%E -0.459%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 21:05
NetBet (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -4.13%E -0.459%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -7.08%E -6.81%K -176.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 19:25
1xBet🎯8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV -4.34%E -0.484%K -0.544%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 21:03
BetOnline.ag🎯8.88I 11.26%NM 10.84%EV -5.41%E -0.609%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.16%EV -3.50%E -3.24%K -43.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 09:45
LowVig.ag🎯8.88I 11.26%NM 10.84%EV -5.41%E -0.609%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.16%EV -3.50%E -3.24%K -43.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 09:45
Bovada🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -6.79%E -0.776%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 21:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.71%EV -6.79%E -0.776%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.29%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 10:10
Neds🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.71%EV -6.79%E -0.776%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.29%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 10:10
Fliff🎯8.65I 11.56%NM 10.64%EV -7.86%E -0.908%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.36%EV -7.97%E -7.74%K -265.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-05 21:05
BoyleSports🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.50%E -3.24%K -43.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 12:49
Unibet (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 16:05
Unibet (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 21:05
BetRivers🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 21:04
Unibet (NL)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 21:05
Unibet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 21:05
Casumo🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 21:05
Svenska Spel🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 21:05
betPARX🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 21:05
ATG (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 21:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 21:05
SportsBet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 09:55
Grosvenor🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 21:05
TABtouch🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 21:05
BetMGM🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.18%E -5.89%K -123.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 21:05
LiveScore Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -7.08%E -6.81%K -176.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 21:05
Virgin Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -7.08%E -6.81%K -176.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 21:05
Bally Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -9.46%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -7.08%E -6.81%K -176.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 21:05
ReBet🎯8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -10.52%E -1.25%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 20:05
theScore Bet🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -12.12%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 10:25
Betclic (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -14.78%E -1.85%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -7.08%E -6.81%K -176.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-05 21:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -14.78%E -1.85%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 88.59%EV -7.97%E -7.74%K -265.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-05 21:05
NordicBet🎯7.94I 12.59%NM 11.88%EV -15.42%E -1.94%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.12%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 21:05
Betsson🎯7.94I 12.59%NM 11.88%EV -15.42%E -1.94%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.12%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 21:05
Dabble (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -20.11%E -2.68%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.61%E -2.40%K -29.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 21:05
Caesars🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -20.11%E -2.68%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 20:25
TAB🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -20.11%E -2.68%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 17:39
PMU (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -20.11%E -2.68%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 88.13%EV -9.76%E -9.66%K -975.87%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-05 21:05
PlayUp🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -25.43%E -3.63%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -2.61%E -2.40%K -29.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 20:30
Bet Victor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -25.43%E -3.63%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.40%E -4.11%K -62.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 21:03
betano_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -25.43%E -3.63%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -5.29%E -4.99%K -88.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-05 09:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig◎11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%0.7%2026-08-05 21:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-08-05 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-08-05 21:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-08-05 21:05
Matchbook◎11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.41%1.3%2026-08-05 21:05
ProphetX◎10.70I 9.35%NM 9.17%1.08I 92.59%NM 90.83%1.9%2026-08-05 21:05
Smarkets◎12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88%2.7%2026-08-05 21:05