Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Moyuka Uchijima v Cristina Bucsa

Kickoff: 2026-08-02 20:41 UTC

Final: Moyuka Uchijima 2–0 Cristina Bucsa

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Moyuka Uchijima (Local)

Prediction 44.36%2.25fair odd
EV +0.249%
Edge +0.110%
Kelly +0.198%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.71%44.47%44.30%48.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.122.142.2652.63%47.22%46.73%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cristina Bucsa (Visit)

Prediction 55.64%1.80fair odd
EV +1.83%
Edge +0.997%
Kelly +2.20%
Growth +0.040%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.63%55.53%55.70%58.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.701.711.8362.11%58.65%58.48%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Moyuka Uchijima (Local): 44.36%; Cristina Bucsa (Visit): 55.64%. For Cristina Bucsa (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.83%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -11.28%E -5.64%K -11.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +1.83%E +0.997%K +2.20%G +0.040%4.6%2026-08-02 20:39
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -10.40%E -5.15%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +1.27%E +0.697%K +1.55%G +0.020%4.5%2026-08-02 20:39
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -10.40%E -5.15%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -0.957%E -0.538%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 19:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -15.72%E -8.27%K -17.47%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -0.957%E -0.538%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 20:40
ReBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -8.62%E -4.19%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -1.51%E -0.855%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 19:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -4.63%E -2.15%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -2.07%E -1.18%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-02 15:34
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.07%E -1.18%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 13:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -8.62%E -4.19%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.07%E -1.18%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:45
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.07%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.63%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 12:39
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.07%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.63%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 19:40
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.07%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.63%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 13:34
NordicBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.30%EV -9.95%E -4.90%K -9.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV -2.63%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 13:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -11.28%E -5.64%K -11.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 19:50
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -1.08%E -0.485%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 20:39
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 20:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:35
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.07%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.07%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 18:45
Pinnacle🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -0.638%E -0.285%K -0.515%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-02 19:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.41%E -1.10%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 20:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.41%E -1.10%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 20:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.63%E -2.15%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 13:19
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:29
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:29
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:29
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:29
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:30
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:29
Bally Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:30
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 12:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 14:10
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 18:45
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.07%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 12:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.63%E -2.15%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 20:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.07%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 15:03
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.07%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.07%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 20:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.19%E -1.94%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.96%E -3.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 19:35
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.63%E -2.15%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.96%E -3.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 19:39
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.63%E -2.15%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.96%E -3.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 17:19
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.63%E -2.15%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.96%E -3.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 20:40
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -11.28%E -5.64%K -11.28%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -5.96%E -3.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 20:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.63%E -2.15%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.52%E -3.88%K -9.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 20:40
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.41%E -1.10%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 19:19
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 19:38
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 20:35
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 20:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 20:30
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 20:34
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -9.07%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 20:40
FanDuel🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV +0.249%E +0.110%K +0.198%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -8.19%E -4.96%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 19:30
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.19%E -4.96%K -12.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 19:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.05%EV -8.18%E -3.95%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.95%EV -9.30%E -5.71%K -14.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-02 20:30
DraftKings🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV +0.249%E +0.110%K +0.198%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -9.86%E -6.09%K -15.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 20:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.195%E -0.087%K -0.156%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.86%E -6.09%K -15.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 19:30
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.195%E -0.087%K -0.156%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.86%E -6.09%K -15.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 19:30
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.195%E -0.087%K -0.156%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.86%E -6.09%K -15.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 19:30
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -0.195%E -0.087%K -0.156%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -10.42%E -6.47%K -17.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 19:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-08-02 20:40
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-08-02 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-08-02 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-08-02 20:35
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-08-02 20:40
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 46.34%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%9.0%2026-08-02 20:40

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