Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Moyuka Uchijima v Cristina Bucsa

2026-08-02 17:40 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Moyuka Uchijima (Local)

Predicción 45.55%2.20momio equitativo
EV -1.61%
Ventaja -0.743%
Kelly -1.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.30%45.53%45.56%46.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.962.092.102.1651.02%47.95%47.62%46.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cristina Bucsa (Visitante)

Predicción 54.45%1.84momio equitativo
EV -3.08%
Ventaja -1.73%
Kelly -3.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.05%54.47%54.44%55.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.671.731.731.7859.88%57.81%57.80%56.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Moyuka Uchijima (Local): 45.55%; Cristina Bucsa (Visitante): 54.45%. Para Moyuka Uchijima (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.20. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.16, con un valor esperado de -1.61%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -1.61%E -0.743%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-02 15:15
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.06%E -0.959%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.63%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 15:10
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.06%E -0.959%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.90%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 13:19
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.90%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.90%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:29
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.90%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:29
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.90%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:30
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.90%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:29
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.90%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:29
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.90%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:29
PMU (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.90%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:30
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.90%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:29
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.90%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:29
Bally Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.90%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:30
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.90%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:30
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.90%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 12:50
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.90%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:40
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.90%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 14:10
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.63%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 12:34
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.63%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 14:34
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.63%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 14:34
GTbets2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.17%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 13:19
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 14:50
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 14:20
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 14:50
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 14:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 12:34
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 14:24
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:44
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:54
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 14:49
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.90%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 12:55
DraftKings2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.79%E -2.29%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 13:09
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.08%E -1.73%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 12:45
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 14:25
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 15:25
Dabble (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 15:20
PointsBet (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 14:54
Unibet (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.16%E -2.99%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.17%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:45
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.17%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 13:45
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 12:39
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 13:19
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 13:35
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 13:34
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 13:40
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 14:24
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 14:54
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.35%E -3.69%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.35%E -3.69%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 14:29
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.90%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 12:39
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.44%E -4.38%K -10.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 15:09
betano_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.44%E -4.38%K -10.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 15:05
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.44%E -4.38%K -10.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 15:03
ReBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.07%E -3.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:10
NordicBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.30%EV -7.53%E -3.71%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 13:20
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.63%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 12:35
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 12:59
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 14:20
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.89%E -4.45%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.44%E -4.38%K -10.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 14:50
NetBet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.75%EV -9.81%E -4.95%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -9.07%E -5.43%K -13.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 15:10
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -10.72%E -5.47%K -11.16%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.85%EV -8.53%E -5.08%K -12.54%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 13:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-08-02 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-08-02 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-08-02 15:25
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-08-02 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-08-02 15:25
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.1%2026-08-02 15:15