Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Moyuka Uchijima v Cristina Bucsa

Inicio: 2026-08-02 20:41 UTC

Final: Moyuka Uchijima 2–0 Cristina Bucsa

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Moyuka Uchijima (Local)

Predicción 44.36%2.25momio equitativo
EV +0.249%
Ventaja +0.110%
Kelly +0.198%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.71%44.47%44.30%48.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.902.122.142.2652.63%47.22%46.73%44.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cristina Bucsa (Visitante)

Predicción 55.64%1.80momio equitativo
EV +1.83%
Ventaja +0.997%
Kelly +2.20%
Crecimiento +0.040%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.63%55.53%55.70%58.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.611.701.711.8362.11%58.65%58.48%54.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Moyuka Uchijima (Local): 44.36%; Cristina Bucsa (Visitante): 55.64%. Para Cristina Bucsa (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.80. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.83, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.83%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -11.28%E -5.64%K -11.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +1.83%E +0.997%K +2.20%G +0.040%4.6%2026-08-02 20:39
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -10.40%E -5.15%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +1.27%E +0.697%K +1.55%G +0.020%4.5%2026-08-02 20:39
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -10.40%E -5.15%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -0.957%E -0.538%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 19:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -15.72%E -8.27%K -17.47%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -0.957%E -0.538%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 20:40
ReBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -8.62%E -4.19%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -1.51%E -0.855%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 19:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -4.63%E -2.15%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -2.07%E -1.18%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-02 15:34
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.07%E -1.18%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 13:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -8.62%E -4.19%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.07%E -1.18%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:45
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.07%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.63%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 12:39
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.07%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.63%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 19:40
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.07%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.63%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 13:34
NordicBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.30%EV -9.95%E -4.90%K -9.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV -2.63%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 13:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -11.28%E -5.64%K -11.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 19:50
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -1.08%E -0.485%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 20:39
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 20:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:35
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.07%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.07%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 18:45
Pinnacle🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -0.638%E -0.285%K -0.515%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-02 19:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.41%E -1.10%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 20:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.41%E -1.10%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 20:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.63%E -2.15%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 13:19
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:29
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:29
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:29
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:29
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:30
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:29
Bally Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:30
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 12:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 14:10
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 18:45
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.07%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 12:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.63%E -2.15%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 20:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.07%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 15:03
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.07%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.07%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 20:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.19%E -1.94%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.96%E -3.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 19:35
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.63%E -2.15%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.96%E -3.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 19:39
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.63%E -2.15%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.96%E -3.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 17:19
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.63%E -2.15%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.96%E -3.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 20:40
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -11.28%E -5.64%K -11.28%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -5.96%E -3.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 20:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.63%E -2.15%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.52%E -3.88%K -9.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 20:40
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.41%E -1.10%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 19:19
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 19:38
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 20:35
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 20:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 20:30
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 20:34
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -9.07%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 20:40
FanDuel🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV +0.249%E +0.110%K +0.198%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -8.19%E -4.96%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 19:30
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.19%E -4.96%K -12.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 19:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.05%EV -8.18%E -3.95%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.95%EV -9.30%E -5.71%K -14.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-02 20:30
DraftKings🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV +0.249%E +0.110%K +0.198%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -9.86%E -6.09%K -15.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 20:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.195%E -0.087%K -0.156%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.86%E -6.09%K -15.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 19:30
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.195%E -0.087%K -0.156%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.86%E -6.09%K -15.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 19:30
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.195%E -0.087%K -0.156%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.86%E -6.09%K -15.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 19:30
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -0.195%E -0.087%K -0.156%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -10.42%E -6.47%K -17.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 19:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-08-02 20:40
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-08-02 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-08-02 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-08-02 20:35
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-08-02 20:40
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 46.34%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%9.0%2026-08-02 20:40