Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Moyuka Uchijima v Cristina Bucsa

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-02 20:41 UTC

Score final : Moyuka Uchijima 2–0 Cristina Bucsa

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Moyuka Uchijima (Local)

Prévision 44.36%2.25cote équitable
EV +0.249%
Avantage +0.110%
Kelly +0.198%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.71%44.47%44.30%48.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.902.122.142.2652.63%47.22%46.73%44.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cristina Bucsa (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.64%1.80cote équitable
EV +1.83%
Avantage +0.997%
Kelly +2.20%
Croissance +0.040%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.63%55.53%55.70%58.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.611.701.711.8362.11%58.65%58.48%54.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Moyuka Uchijima (Local) : 44.36% ; Cristina Bucsa (Visiteur) : 55.64%. Pour Cristina Bucsa (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.80. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.83, soit une espérance positive de +1.83%.

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -11.28%E -5.64%K -11.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +1.83%E +0.997%K +2.20%G +0.040%4.6%2026-08-02 20:39
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -10.40%E -5.15%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +1.27%E +0.697%K +1.55%G +0.020%4.5%2026-08-02 20:39
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -10.40%E -5.15%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -0.957%E -0.538%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 19:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -15.72%E -8.27%K -17.47%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -0.957%E -0.538%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 20:40
ReBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -8.62%E -4.19%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -1.51%E -0.855%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 19:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -4.63%E -2.15%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -2.07%E -1.18%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-02 15:34
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.07%E -1.18%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 13:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -8.62%E -4.19%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -2.07%E -1.18%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:45
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.07%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.63%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 12:39
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.07%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.63%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 19:40
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.07%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.63%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 13:34
NordicBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.30%EV -9.95%E -4.90%K -9.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV -2.63%E -1.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 13:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -11.28%E -5.64%K -11.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.18%E -1.83%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 19:50
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -1.08%E -0.485%K -0.880%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 20:39
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 20:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:35
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.07%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.07%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 18:45
Pinnacle🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -0.638%E -0.285%K -0.515%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-02 19:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.41%E -1.10%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 20:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.41%E -1.10%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 20:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.63%E -2.15%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 13:19
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:29
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:29
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:29
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:29
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:30
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:29
Bally Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 11:30
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 12:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 14:10
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 18:45
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.07%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.85%E -2.84%K -6.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 12:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.63%E -2.15%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 20:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.07%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 15:03
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.07%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.07%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.41%E -3.18%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 20:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.19%E -1.94%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.96%E -3.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 19:35
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.63%E -2.15%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.96%E -3.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 19:39
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.63%E -2.15%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.96%E -3.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 17:19
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.63%E -2.15%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.96%E -3.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 20:40
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -11.28%E -5.64%K -11.28%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -5.96%E -3.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 20:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.63%E -2.15%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.52%E -3.88%K -9.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 20:40
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.41%E -1.10%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 19:19
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 19:38
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 20:35
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 20:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 20:30
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 20:34
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -9.07%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 20:40
FanDuel🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV +0.249%E +0.110%K +0.198%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -8.19%E -4.96%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 19:30
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.19%E -4.96%K -12.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 19:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.05%EV -8.18%E -3.95%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.95%EV -9.30%E -5.71%K -14.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-02 20:30
DraftKings🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV +0.249%E +0.110%K +0.198%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -9.86%E -6.09%K -15.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 20:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.195%E -0.087%K -0.156%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.86%E -6.09%K -15.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 19:30
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.195%E -0.087%K -0.156%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.86%E -6.09%K -15.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 19:30
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.195%E -0.087%K -0.156%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.86%E -6.09%K -15.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 19:30
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -0.195%E -0.087%K -0.156%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -10.42%E -6.47%K -17.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 19:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-08-02 20:40
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-08-02 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-08-02 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-08-02 20:35
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-08-02 20:40
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 46.34%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%9.0%2026-08-02 20:40